{"id":11181,"date":"2024-09-19T05:12:07","date_gmt":"2024-09-19T05:12:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=11181"},"modified":"2024-09-19T05:12:07","modified_gmt":"2024-09-19T05:12:07","slug":"fitch-kuresel-ekonomik-buyume-tahminini-yukseltti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2024\/09\/19\/fitch-kuresel-ekonomik-buyume-tahminini-yukseltti\/","title":{"rendered":"Fitch k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fckseltti"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Fitch, K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun eyl\u00fcl say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (Fed) Gev\u015feme D\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc Ba\u015fl\u0131yor” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Raporda, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l tarihi e\u011filime uygun olarak y\u00fczde 2,7 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n

Bu oran\u0131n Haziran ay\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclenden 0,1 puan daha y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen raporda, ABD, \u0130ngiltere, Brezilya ve Rusya i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edildi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, ABD b\u00fcy\u00fcmesindeki yava\u015flama nedeniyle 2025’te k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin y\u00fczde 2,5’e, 2026’da da y\u00fczde 2,4’e gerilemesinin beklendi\u011fi bilgisi verilerek, “Fed’in gev\u015feme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc nihayet ba\u015flamak \u00fczere ancak faiz oranlar\u0131 \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 olmaya devam edecek ve faiz indirimlerinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerindeki etkisi k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olacak” ifadesi kullan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Ayr\u0131ca \u00c7in’in b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin de ihracattaki ivme kayb\u0131 nedeniyle gelecek y\u0131l yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi belirtilen raporda, Euro B\u00f6lgesi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin ise gelecek y\u0131l toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bildirildi.<\/p>\n

“Fed’in gev\u015fetme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc, \u00f6nceki d\u00f6nemlere g\u00f6re \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 olacak”<\/b><\/p>\n

Raporda, ABD ekonomisine dair b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,1’den y\u00fczde 2,5’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u00fclke ekonomisinin 2025 ve 2026’da ise y\u00fczde 1,6 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

ABD’deki hizmet enflasyonun, enflasyonun s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir \u015fekilde hedefe d\u00f6nmesiyle tutarl\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in hala \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu vurgulanan raporda, Fed’in para politikas\u0131 gev\u015fetme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6nceki faiz indirimi d\u00f6nemlerine k\u0131yasla \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 ve yava\u015f olaca\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, \u00c7in’in bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,8, gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nin ise bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,8, 2025’te y\u00fczde 1,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n

ABD’de ve di\u011fer baz\u0131 geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilerde i\u015fsizli\u011fin giderek artt\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edilen raporda, bunun d\u00fc\u015fen i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc talebinden ziyade i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc arz\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, son verilerin, enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015fme yolunda oldu\u011funa dair Fed’in g\u00fcvenini art\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 vurgulanarak, “Eyl\u00fcl ve aral\u0131k toplant\u0131lar\u0131nda 25’er baz puanl\u0131k, 2025’te 125 baz puanl\u0131k ve 2026’da 75 baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimi bekliyoruz” ifadesi kullan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye’de y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun A\u011fustos’ta belirgin \u015fekilde yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedilen raporda, y\u0131l sonunda enflasyonun y\u00fczde 43 seviyesinde olmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,5, 2025’te y\u00fczde 2,8 ve 2026’da y\u00fczde 3,7 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/fitch-kuresel-ekonomik-buyume-tahminini-yukseltti-2359986<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings, k\u00fcresel ekonomiye ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 2,6’dan y\u00fczde 2,7’ye \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11182,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[245,1703,292,80,222],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-11181","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abd","tag-beklendigi","tag-enflasyonun","tag-is","tag-raporda"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11181","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11181"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11181\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11183,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11181\/revisions\/11183"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11182"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11181"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11181"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11181"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=11181"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}