{"id":11277,"date":"2024-09-19T11:36:06","date_gmt":"2024-09-19T11:36:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=11277"},"modified":"2024-09-19T11:36:06","modified_gmt":"2024-09-19T11:36:06","slug":"barclays-tcmb-tahminini-one-cekti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2024\/09\/19\/barclays-tcmb-tahminini-one-cekti\/","title":{"rendered":"Barclays TCMB tahminini \u00f6ne \u00e7ekti"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Yabanc\u0131 kurumlar, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de ilk gev\u015feme ad\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 genellikle 2024 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7inde beklemezken, Barclays yeni analiziyle ayr\u0131\u015fma g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n<p>Barclays Plc ekonomistleri, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n faiz indirimlerine Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 beklediklerini bildirdi. Ekonomistler daha \u00f6nce ilk indirimi Ocak ay\u0131nda bekliyordu.<\/p>\n<p>Ercan Erg\u00fczel\u2019in de aralar\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu ekonomistler \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlad\u0131klar\u0131 Geli\u015fmekte Olan Piyasalar \u00c7eyreklik Raporu\u2019nda, Kas\u0131m ay\u0131ndaki ilk faiz indirimi sonras\u0131 TCMB\u2019nin her toplant\u0131da 250\u2019\u015fer baz puanla indirimlere devam etmesini, politika faizinin A\u011fustos 2025\u2019e kadar y\u00fczde 25\u2019e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesini beklediklerini dile getirdi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Ekonomistler, Eyl\u00fcl 2025\u2019te ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen enflasyona g\u00f6re reel politika faizinin negatife d\u00f6nece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><b><strong>HSBC 2025 i\u00e7in \u00f6nden y\u00fcklemeli indirim tahmininde bulunmu\u015ftu<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n<p>Barclays ekonomistlerinden \u00f6nce son analiz HSBC&#8217;den gelmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>HSBC CEEMEA B\u00f6lgesi Ekonomisti Melis Metiner taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan 9 Eyl\u00fcl tarihli raporda, bankan\u0131n bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de faiz indirimi olmayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki beklentisini korudu\u011fu, bunun yan\u0131nda faiz indirimlerinin 2025&#8217;te \u00f6nden y\u00fcklemeli olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc belirtilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Metiner, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda \u00f6nden y\u00fcklemeli faiz indirimleri beklediklerini s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<p>Raporda mali konsolidasyon s\u00fcrecinin fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131 konusunda destek verece\u011fi, bununla birlikte g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn belirsiz oldu\u011fu ifade edilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>De\u011ferlendirmede 2025 i\u00e7in kademeli bir politikan\u0131n daha olas\u0131 oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/barclays-tcmb-tahminini-one-cekti-2360049<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Barclays, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n (TCMB) ilk faiz indirimini Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11278,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[720,1707,405,543],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-11277","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-720","tag-ekonomistler","tag-faiz","tag-indirim"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11277","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11277"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11277\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11279,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11277\/revisions\/11279"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11277"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11277"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11277"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=11277"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}