{"id":11283,"date":"2024-09-19T12:00:07","date_gmt":"2024-09-19T12:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=11283"},"modified":"2024-09-19T12:00:07","modified_gmt":"2024-09-19T12:00:07","slug":"barniernin-ilk-sinavi-butce-taslagi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2024\/09\/19\/barniernin-ilk-sinavi-butce-taslagi\/","title":{"rendered":"Barnier’nin ilk s\u0131nav\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e tasla\u011f\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Fransa\u2019da ge\u00e7en hafta Emmanuel Macron taraf\u0131ndan Michel Barnier\u2019nin ba\u015fbakan atanmas\u0131 \u00fclkede ya\u015fanan siyasi belirsizlik d\u00f6nemine nokta koydu.<\/p>\n

Uzun s\u00fcredir beklenen karar beraberinde \u00fclke \u00e7ap\u0131nda protestolar\u0131 da getirdi. \u00dclkede geleneksel olarak se\u00e7im sonucunda birinci gelen sol ittifak aday\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fbakan atanmas\u0131 beklenirken Macron, sa\u011f merkezi Cumhuriyet\u00e7i partisi aday\u0131 Michel Barnier\u2019yi ba\u015fbakanl\u0131k koltu\u011funa atayarak kuvvetli tepki \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

Yeni ba\u015fbakan\u0131n mecliste yeterli deste\u011fi toplayabilmesi i\u00e7in Marine Le Pen\u2019in a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011f partisi Ulusal Birlik\u2019in deste\u011fine ihtiyac\u0131 var. Bu da Le Pen\u2019i yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmet politikalar\u0131 \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde stratejik bir konuma getiriyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Fransa son d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 siyasi sars\u0131nt\u0131lar ve b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 hedeflerine y\u00f6nelik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131larla hassas bir s\u00fcre\u00e7ten ge\u00e7iyor. Bu noktada yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmetin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde alaca\u011f\u0131 kararlar kritik olacak.<\/p>\n

Bu kararlar\u0131n etkin bir \u015fekilde hayata ge\u00e7irilebilmesi i\u00e7inse Barnier\u2019in parlamentoda Le Pen ve Ulusal Birlik Partisi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jordan Bardella\u2019dan gelecek deste\u011fe \u00e7ok ihtiyac\u0131 var. Bardella bu ba\u011flamda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 son a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda Barnier\u2019yi \u201cg\u00f6zetim alt\u0131nda<\/b>\u201d bir ba\u015fbakan olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131. Barnier a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sa\u011fa meyilli g\u00f6\u00e7men kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7i politikalar uygulamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 takdirde mecliste hareket alan\u0131 olduk\u00e7a s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n

Ba\u015fbakan\u0131n ilk g\u00f6revi 2025\u2019e y\u00f6nelik b\u00fct\u00e7e tasla\u011f\u0131n\u0131 haz\u0131rlay\u0131p Ekim’de Fransa Meclisi\u2019nde oylamaya sunmak olacak. B\u00fct\u00e7e tasar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n meclisten ge\u00e7ebilmesi i\u00e7in geni\u015f \u00e7aptaki faiz indirimlerini ve Macron\u2019un 2023 emeklilik reformunun iptalini savunan Ulusal Birlik\u2019in onay\u0131n\u0131 almas\u0131 gerekiyor. Yani yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmet Fransa\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltmay\u0131 hedefleyen bir tasar\u0131y\u0131 meclisten ge\u00e7irebilmek i\u00e7in vergi indirimi politikalar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyen Le Pen\u2019in deste\u011fini almak zorunda.<\/p>\n

Barnier\u2019nin haz\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e tasar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 sadece i\u00e7 politika dahilinde de\u011ferlendirmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil; \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n ikinci en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda yeni bir b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltma plan\u0131 haz\u0131rlay\u0131p bunu Avrupa Birli\u011fi Komisyonu\u2019na sunmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Aksi halde Fransa, hassas makroekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn euro b\u00f6lgesi ekonomilerine etkileri sebebiyle disiplin tedbirlerine tabii tutulacak.<\/p>\n

Fransa\u2019n\u0131n AB Komisyonu taraf\u0131ndan \u201c\u00e7ok fazla\u201d standartlar\u0131nda de\u011ferlendirilen b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda GSYH\u2019sinin y\u00fczde 5,5\u2019ini kaps\u0131yordu. Avrupa Birli\u011fi standartlar\u0131na g\u00f6re bu b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkelerin GSYH\u2019sinin y\u00fczde 3\u2019\u00fc dahilinde olmak zorunda. Kamu bor\u00e7lanmalar\u0131 ise Fransa\u2019da y\u00fczde 110 seviyelerinde, AB standartlar\u0131na g\u00f6re kamu bor\u00e7lanmalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 60 seviyesinde olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta g\u00f6revden ayr\u0131lan Fransa Ekonomi Bakan\u0131 Bruno le Maire\u2019in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda y\u0131l sonu b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 beklentilerinin \u00f6nceleri y\u00fczde 5,1 seviyelerindeyken \u015fu anda y\u00fczde 5,6 olmas\u0131 beklendi\u011fi s\u00f6ylenildi. Gerek\u00e7e olarak ise bu sene sat\u0131\u015f ve kurumsal vergilerden beklenen \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde gelir elde edilemedi\u011fi s\u00f6yleniyor. Hazine ve Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan Eyl\u00fcl ba\u015f\u0131nda milletvekillerine iletilen bir raporda, politikalarda herhangi bir de\u011fi\u015fim yap\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n 2025 sonunda y\u00fczde 6,2\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 ve e\u011fer y\u00fczde 3 hedefinin sa\u011flanmas\u0131 isteniyorsa 2027 sonuna kadar 110 milyar euro tasarruf edilmesi gerekti\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n

Fransa\u2019n\u0131n yeni b\u00fct\u00e7e politikas\u0131n\u0131n bor\u00e7lar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir hale getirmesi, yani kamu bor\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda azalt\u0131labilir oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermesi gerekiyor. Bu da, Avrupa Birli\u011fi standartlar\u0131na g\u00f6re \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 4 ila 7 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00fclke GSYH\u2019sinin y\u00fczde 3\u2019\u00fcne indirilmesi ve b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 fazla\u201d kategorisinden \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131l itibariyle bor\u00e7\/GSYH oran\u0131n\u0131n her y\u0131l GSYH\u2019nin en az y\u00fczde 1\u2019i kadar azalt\u0131lmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ayr\u0131ca yap\u0131sal bor\u00e7 a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n her y\u0131l GSYH\u2019nin en az y\u00fczde 0,25\u2019i kadar azalmas\u0131 \u015fart\u0131 da mevcut.<\/p>\n

Cepremap\u2019in yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 son ara\u015ft\u0131rmaya g\u00f6re; b\u00fct\u00e7e d\u00fczenlemelerinin 4 yerine 7 y\u0131l hedefli yap\u0131lmas\u0131 ve d\u00fczenlemelerin ilk 2 y\u0131l\u0131 olan 2025 ve 2026 y\u0131llar\u0131 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi korumak amac\u0131yla b\u00fct\u00e7e k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n\u0131n 20 milyar euro ile s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nerilerini AB komisyonuna sunmak Fransa\u2019y\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 alanda daha iyi bir pozisyona ta\u015f\u0131yacak. Bu senaryonun uygulanmas\u0131 halinde k\u00fcresel b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 2031 y\u0131l\u0131nda GSYH\u2019nin y\u00fczde 2,66\u2019s\u0131 kadar olacak.<\/p>\n

Bu nedenle Barnier h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak i\u00e7in en k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede kamu harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7ok ciddi bi\u00e7imde k\u0131s\u0131tlamas\u0131 ve ilave vergi art\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 getirmesi gerekiyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/barnier-nin-ilk-sinavi-butce-taslagi-2360048<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fransa Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Barnier 2025\u2019e y\u00f6nelik b\u00fct\u00e7e tasla\u011f\u0131n\u0131 haz\u0131rlay\u0131p Ekim’de Fransa Meclisi\u2019nde oylamaya sunmak olacak. B\u00fct\u00e7e tasar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n meclisten ge\u00e7ebilmesi i\u00e7in geni\u015f \u00e7aptaki faiz indirimlerini ve Macron\u2019un 2023 emeklilik reformunun iptalini…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11284,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1708,382,362,361,430],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-11283","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-barnier","tag-borc","tag-butce","tag-fransa","tag-politika"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11283","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11283"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11283\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11285,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11283\/revisions\/11285"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11284"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11283"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11283"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11283"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=11283"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}