{"id":11687,"date":"2024-09-20T15:48:11","date_gmt":"2024-09-20T15:48:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=11687"},"modified":"2024-09-20T15:48:11","modified_gmt":"2024-09-20T15:48:11","slug":"cin-buyume-tahminleri-dusuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2024\/09\/20\/cin-buyume-tahminleri-dusuyor\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminleri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\u00c7in\u2019de i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 6 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015f\u0131rken, t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m verileri A\u011fustos\u2019ta beklentilerin \u00fczerinde yava\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Veriler h\u00fck\u00fcmetin y\u0131l sonu b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefinin tutmayaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki endi\u015feleri t\u0131rmand\u0131rd\u0131 ve ekonomiyi desteklemek i\u00e7in te\u015fvik ad\u0131mlar\u0131 at\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131n artmas\u0131na neden oldu. Verilerin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131ndan saatler \u00f6nce \u00c7in Merkez Bankas\u0131 (PBOC), hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaratan kredi verilerinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra nadiren yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir a\u00e7\u0131klamada deflasyonla m\u00fccadelenin daha y\u00fcksek bir \u00f6ncelik haline gelece\u011finin sinyalini verdi ve daha fazla parasal geni\u015flemeye i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. \u00c7in ba\u015fekonomisti Raymond Yeung, \u201cA\u011fustos verileri, \u00fcst y\u00f6netim b\u00fcy\u00fck bir te\u015fvik paketi ba\u015flatmaya istekli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 5 civar\u0131nda olan resmi b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefine ula\u015fma \u015fans\u0131n\u0131 temelde ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131yor\u201d dedi. ING Bank NV\u2019nin B\u00fcy\u00fck \u00c7in Ba\u015f Ekonomisti Lynn Song da bir notunda, \u201c\u00dc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fin sonuna yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z \u015fu g\u00fcnlerde, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n ekonomiyi canland\u0131racak \u00f6nlemler almas\u0131 i\u00e7in zaman daral\u0131yor\u201d diye yazd\u0131. BNP Paribas SA\u2019n\u0131n ba\u015f \u00c7in ekonomisti Jacqueline Rong\u2019a g\u00f6re, \u015fu ana kadarki veriler GSYH\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 4,6-4,7 oran\u0131nda geni\u015fleyece\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Larry Hu\u2019nun da aralar\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu Macquarie Group Ltd. analistleri de mevcut ivmenin aral\u0131k d\u00f6neminde de devam etmesi halinde t\u00fcm y\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin y\u00fczde 4,6-4,7 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesini ve \u201cy\u00fczde 5 civar\u0131ndaki hedefin \u0131skalanmas\u0131n\u0131\u201d bekliyor.<\/p>\n

Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley ve Citigroup, \u00c7in i\u00e7in y\u0131ll\u0131k GSYH tahminlerini indirdi<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n

Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley ve Citigroup ekonomistleri zay\u0131f verilerin ard\u0131ndan \u00c7in i\u00e7in y\u0131ll\u0131k GSYH tahminlerini resmi hedefin alt\u0131na indirdi.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan yeni haftan\u0131n ilk i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fcnde Fed faiz indirimine ili\u015fkin beklentilerin k\u00fcresel piyasalar \u00fczerindeki etkisi, \u00c7in\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan zay\u0131f verilerin g\u00f6lgesinde kald\u0131. Asya\u2019da Japonya, \u00c7in ve G\u00fcney Kore\u2019de finansal piyasalar bug\u00fcn tatil nedeniyle i\u015fleme kapal\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n

TS\u0130 08:12 itibar\u0131yla Hong Kong Hang Seng endeksi \u00c7in\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanan zay\u0131f verilerin etkisiyle y\u00fczde 0,1 ekside. Yen, dolara kar\u015f\u0131 Temmuz 2023\u2019ten bu yana en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seviyesine y\u00fckselirken, dolar G-10 para birimlerinin \u00e7o\u011fu kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybetti. Bloomberg Dolar Endeksi ocak ay\u0131ndan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

BNY\u2019den Bob Savage Fed\u2019in bu hafta istikrarl\u0131 gev\u015femeye dair \u015f\u00fcphe uyand\u0131ran yorumlar yapmas\u0131n\u0131n dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilece\u011fi ve d\u00fcnya genelinde finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rabilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulundu. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015fle tamamlayan Wall Street Borsalar\u0131 bu sabah vadeli i\u015flemlerde yatay. S&P 500 ge\u00e7en hafta 2024\u2019teki en iyi haftas\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131 ve k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u015firketler, b\u00fcy\u00fck teknoloji \u015firketlerinden daha iyi performans g\u00f6sterdi. Ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n tamam\u0131nda ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirisi ile ABD 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirisi 6\u2019\u015far baz puan geriledi.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar Fed\u2019in d\u00f6rt y\u0131ldan uzun bir s\u00fcre sonra ilk kez para politikas\u0131n\u0131 gev\u015fetmeye ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 beklerken, alt\u0131n rekor seviyeye y\u00fckseldi. Ons alt\u0131n ge\u00e7en haftaki y\u00fczde 3,2\u2019lik y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan Asya i\u015flemlerinde y\u00fczde 0,4\u2019e kadar t\u0131rmanarak ons ba\u015f\u0131na 2.589,03 dolara ula\u015ft\u0131. Dolar\/TL sabah saatlerinde 33,9611 seviyesinden i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Hazine ve Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 11:00\u2019de a\u011fustos ay\u0131 merkezi y\u00f6netim b\u00fct\u00e7e dengesi verilerini yay\u0131mlayacak; 2 y\u0131l vadeli 6 ayda bir sabit y\u00fczde 18 kupon \u00f6demeli ve 3 y\u0131l vadeli T\u00dcFE\u2019ye endeksli 6 ayda bir y\u00fczde 1,50 reel kupon \u00f6demeli devlet tahvillerinin yeniden ihrac\u0131n\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecek.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/cin-buyume-tahminleri-dusuyor-2360346<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00c7in\u2019de hafta sonunda a\u00e7\u0131klanan fabrika \u00fcretimi, t\u00fcketim ve yat\u0131r\u0131m verileri A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda beklentilerden fazla yava\u015flarken, \u00fclkede i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 6 ay\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine t\u0131rmand\u0131. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley ve Citigroup ekonomistleri zay\u0131f…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11688,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[702,195,277,178],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-11687","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-bas","tag-cin","tag-dolar","tag-islem"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11687","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11687"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11687\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11689,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11687\/revisions\/11689"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11687"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11687"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11687"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=11687"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}