{"id":12574,"date":"2024-09-24T21:24:06","date_gmt":"2024-09-24T21:24:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=12574"},"modified":"2024-09-24T21:24:06","modified_gmt":"2024-09-24T21:24:06","slug":"opec-kuresel-petrol-talebinde-artis-guclu-bir-sekilde-surecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2024\/09\/24\/opec-kuresel-petrol-talebinde-artis-guclu-bir-sekilde-surecek\/","title":{"rendered":"OPEC: K\u00fcresel petrol talebinde art\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde s\u00fcrecek"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fcn\u00fcn (OPEC) 2050’ye kadar k\u00fcresel enerji g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin orta ve uzun vadeli tahminlerini i\u00e7eren D\u00fcnya Petrol G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc raporu yay\u0131mland\u0131.<\/p>\n

Rapora g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel enerji talebi, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve ekonomik geli\u015fmeye ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde artmaya devam ediyor. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l t\u00fcm kaynaklarda b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc k\u00fcresel enerji talebi \u00f6nceki y\u0131la k\u0131yasla yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 1,6 art\u0131\u015f kaydetti. S\u00f6z konusu b\u00fcy\u00fcme, a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak \u00c7in, Hindistan ve Orta Do\u011fu gibi geli\u015fmekte olan b\u00f6lgelerde ya\u015fan\u0131rken, OECD \u00fclkelerinde ise b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sabit kald\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Orta ve uzun vade k\u00fcresel enerji talebi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne ili\u015fkin tahminlerde bulunan rapora g\u00f6re, uzun vadede k\u00fcresel enerji talebindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin, k\u0131sa vadedeki nispeten y\u00fcksek oranlardan daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye do\u011fru kademeli olarak yava\u015flamas\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu durum, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131 ve ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmedeki yava\u015flaman\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra enerji verimlili\u011fi ve d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcnden kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcnl\u00fck 374 milyon varile ula\u015facak<\/b><\/p>\n

Rapora g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel birincil enerji talebinin 2050’de ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 24 art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcnl\u00fck 374,1 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011ferine ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. G\u00fcnl\u00fck 72,9 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye denk gelen bu art\u0131\u015f, tahmin d\u00f6nemi boyunca da y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama y\u00fczde 0,8’lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu d\u00f6nemde, OECD d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkelerin g\u00fcnl\u00fck 73,5 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri art\u0131\u015fla k\u00fcresel birincil enerji talebindeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin itici g\u00fcc\u00fc olmas\u0131 bekleniyor. OECD \u00fclkelerindeki talepte ise g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 600 bin varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feriyle bir miktar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Buna g\u00f6re, 2050’de OECD d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00fclkelerin enerji talebindeki pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 71,5’e y\u00fckselece\u011fi, OECD \u00fclkelerinin pay\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 28,5’e gerileyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

K\u00f6m\u00fcr hari\u00e7 t\u00fcm kaynaklara talepte art\u0131\u015f bekleniyor<\/b><\/p>\n

Rapora g\u00f6re, 2023-2050 d\u00f6neminde k\u00f6m\u00fcr hari\u00e7 t\u00fcm birincil yak\u0131tlara y\u00f6nelik talebin artaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

En b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131n, r\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere di\u011fer yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131nda ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l g\u00fcnl\u00fck 9,6 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri seviyesindeki di\u011fer yenilenebilir kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck 42,9 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyle 2050’de g\u00fcnl\u00fck 52,4 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011ferine ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 hesaplan\u0131yor. Bu art\u0131\u015fta, elveri\u015fli enerji politikalar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra azalan elektrik \u00fcretim maliyetlerinin etkili olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

Bu d\u00f6nemde, ikinci en b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131n do\u011fal gazdan gelece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Do\u011fal gaz talebinin ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla g\u00fcnl\u00fck 20,5 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri art\u0131\u015fla 2050’de g\u00fcnl\u00fck 89,6 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri seviyesine y\u00fckselece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Rapora g\u00f6re, bu art\u0131\u015f do\u011fal gaz\u0131n, karbon emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcn enerji kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndaki rol\u00fcn\u00fc azaltmak isteyen bir\u00e7ok \u00fclke i\u00e7in tercih edilmesinden kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Petrol talebi \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada<\/b><\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla g\u00fcnl\u00fck 16,7 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri art\u0131\u015fla 2050’de g\u00fcnl\u00fck 109,6 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi beklenen petrol talebinin ise \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada yer alaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu d\u00f6nemde, n\u00fckleer enerjide g\u00fcnl\u00fck 9,6 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri, biyok\u00fctlede g\u00fcnl\u00fck 8,2 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri ve hidroelektrikte g\u00fcnl\u00fck 4 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri art\u0131\u015f bekleniyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, k\u00f6m\u00fcr talebinin g\u00fcnl\u00fck 28,9 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011feri azalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. K\u00f6m\u00fcr, bu d\u00f6nemde talep d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn beklendi\u011fi tek birincil yak\u0131t olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. S\u00f6z konusu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, bir\u00e7ok b\u00f6lgede mevcut k\u00f6m\u00fcr yak\u0131tl\u0131 termik santrallerin kapat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve yeni santrallerin s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ama\u00e7layan s\u0131k\u0131 enerji politikalar\u0131ndan kaynaklanaca\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

K\u00fcresel talepteki en b\u00fcy\u00fck pay petrol\u00fcn<\/b><\/p>\n

Rapora g\u00f6re, enerji kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck de\u011fi\u015fimlerin beklendi\u011fi bu d\u00f6nemde, petrol ve do\u011fal gaz k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00f6nemini korumaya devam edecek. Petrol ve do\u011fal gaz\u0131n enerji kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndaki pay\u0131 2050 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar y\u00fczde 53’\u00fcn \u00fczerinde kalacak.<\/p>\n

Buna g\u00f6re, 2050 y\u0131l\u0131nda petrol y\u00fczde 29,3 ile k\u00fcresel birincil enerji talebinde en b\u00fcy\u00fck paya sahip olurken, bunu y\u00fczde 24 ile do\u011fal gaz ve y\u00fczde 14 ile di\u011fer yenilenebilir kaynaklar takip edecek. K\u00f6m\u00fcr y\u00fczde 13,1, biyok\u00fctle y\u00fczde 10, n\u00fckleer enerji y\u00fczde 6,5 ve hidroelektrik y\u00fczde 3,1 paya sahip olacak.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/opec-kuresel-petrol-talebinde-artis-guclu-bir-sekilde-surecek-2360920<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

K\u00fcresel petrol talebinin 2050’de ge\u00e7en y\u0131la k\u0131yasla yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 24 art\u0131\u015fla g\u00fcnl\u00fck 374,1 milyon varile ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12575,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[223,285,1008,244,1024],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-12574","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-artis","tag-enerji","tag-gunluk","tag-petrol","tag-talebi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12574","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12574"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12574\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12576,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12574\/revisions\/12576"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12575"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12574"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12574"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12574"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=12574"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}