{"id":12634,"date":"2024-09-25T09:36:24","date_gmt":"2024-09-25T09:36:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=12634"},"modified":"2024-09-25T09:36:24","modified_gmt":"2024-09-25T09:36:24","slug":"oecdden-kuresel-ekonomi-ve-turkiye-icin-buyume-tahmini","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2024\/09\/25\/oecdden-kuresel-ekonomi-ve-turkiye-icin-buyume-tahmini\/","title":{"rendered":"OECD’den k\u00fcresel ekonomi ve T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Ekonomik \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi ve Kalk\u0131nma \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OECD), d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecinin devam etmesi, reel gelirlerin iyile\u015fmesi ve bir\u00e7ok ekonomide para politikas\u0131n\u0131n daha az k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131n talebi destekleyece\u011fi beklentisiyle k\u00fcresel ekonomide bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 0,1 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize ederek y\u00fczde 3,2’ye y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n

OECD, Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nu “K\u00f6\u015feyi D\u00f6nmek” temas\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Buna g\u00f6re, k\u00fcresel \u00fcretim art\u0131\u015f\u0131 diren\u00e7li kalmaya ve enflasyonda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcreci devam ediyor. ABD, Brezilya, Hindistan, Endonezya ve Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k dahil olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok G20 \u00fclkesinde nispeten g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, aralar\u0131nda Almanya’n\u0131n da bulundu\u011fu birka\u00e7 ekonomide daha zay\u0131f b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

\u00d6zellikle hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ekonomik aktivite g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131. Reel \u00fccretlerdeki art\u0131\u015f hane halk\u0131 gelir ve harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 desteklese de sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fc bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede hen\u00fcz salg\u0131n \u00f6ncesi seviyelere tam olarak d\u00f6nmedi.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te yandan, k\u00fcresel ticarette beklenenden h\u0131zl\u0131 toparlanma g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, nakliye maliyetleri y\u00fcksek kalmaya devam ediyor ve ihracat sipari\u015flerinde \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 seyir s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Enflasyon taraf\u0131nda mal fiyatlar\u0131 gerilemesine ra\u011fmen bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede hizmet sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde maliyet ve fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131 etkisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Bu kapsamda, d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda dezenflasyon s\u00fcrecinin devam etmesi, reel gelirlerdeki iyile\u015fme ve bir\u00e7ok ekonomide para politikas\u0131n\u0131n daha az k\u0131s\u0131tlay\u0131c\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131n talebi destekleyece\u011fi beklentisiyle k\u00fcresel ekonominin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 3,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor. Bu oran, OECD’nin may\u0131sta a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn y\u00fczde 0,1 \u00fczerinde bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

OECD, k\u00fcresel ekonomide 2025’e ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini ise de\u011fi\u015ftirmeyerek y\u00fczde 3,2’de sabit b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD’de ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n ancak para politikas\u0131ndaki gev\u015femeyle desteklenmesi beklenirken, bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 2,6 ile de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6stermiyor. Ancak OECD, ABD ekonomisine ili\u015fkin 2025 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini may\u0131staki \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcne g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,2 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize ederek y\u00fczde 1,6’ya \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n

OECD, Avro B\u00f6lgesi’nde bu y\u0131lki ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye ili\u015fkin y\u00fczde 0,7 olan \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011fi\u015ftirmedi ancak 2025 tahminini y\u00fczde 0,2 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize ederek y\u00fczde 1,3 olarak belirledi.<\/p>\n

Raporda, \u00c7in ekonomisine ili\u015fkin bu y\u0131l ve 2025 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini s\u0131ras\u0131yla y\u00fczde 4,9 ve y\u00fczde 4,5 ile de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6stermedi.<\/p>\n

Jeopolitik ve ticari gerilimler, yat\u0131r\u0131mlara giderek daha fazla zarar verebilir<\/b><\/p>\n

Raporda, enflasyonun 2025’te \u00e7o\u011fu G20 \u00fclkesinde hedef seviyeye geri d\u00f6nece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, k\u00fcresel ekonomiye ili\u015fkin \u00f6nemli risklerin devam etti\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Devam eden jeopolitik ve ticari gerilimlerin yat\u0131r\u0131mlara giderek daha fazla zarar verebilece\u011fi ve ithalat fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckseltebilece\u011fi riski bulunurken, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasalar\u0131 so\u011fuduk\u00e7a ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin beklenenden daha keskin \u015fekilde yava\u015flayabilece\u011fi ve dezenflasyon patikas\u0131ndan olas\u0131 sapmalar\u0131n finansal piyasalarda bozulmay\u0131 tetikleyebilece\u011fi tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n

OECD, enflasyon daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 hale geldik\u00e7e ve i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda bask\u0131lar hafifledik\u00e7e, para politikas\u0131 indirimlerinin devam etmesi gerekti\u011fi ancak indirimlerin zamanlama ve kapsam\u0131n\u0131n verilere ba\u011fl\u0131 kalmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde uyard\u0131.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde bu y\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fcme y\u00fczde 3,2<\/b><\/p>\n

OECD, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 0,2 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize ederek y\u00fczde 3,2 ve 2025 i\u00e7in ise y\u00fczde 0,1 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizeyle y\u00fczde 3,1 olarak belirledi.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye dahil geli\u015fmekte olan ekonomilerde enflasyonun geli\u015fmi\u015f ekonomilere g\u00f6re daha y\u00fcksek seyredece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6ren OECD’ye g\u00f6re, T\u00fcrkiye’de enflasyon bu y\u0131l sonu ve 2025 boyunca hafifleyecek ancak \u00e7ift haneli rakamlarda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek.<\/p>\n

Bu kapsamda OECD, T\u00fcrkiye’de, enflasyonun net bir \u015fekilde hedefe do\u011fru ilerlemesini sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in s\u0131k\u0131 parasal duru\u015fun 2025’in belli bir d\u00f6nemine kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi gerekti\u011fi tavsiyesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/oecd-den-kuresel-ekonomi-ve-turkiye-icin-buyume-tahmini-2360959<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

OECD, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinde bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 0,2 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize ederek y\u00fczde 3,2 ve 2025 i\u00e7in ise y\u00fczde 0,1 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizeyle y\u00fczde 3,1 olarak belirledi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12635,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[720,116,227,366,784],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-12634","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-720","tag-buyume","tag-enflasyon","tag-iliskin","tag-oecd"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12634","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12634"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12634\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12636,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12634\/revisions\/12636"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12635"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12634"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12634"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12634"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=12634"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}