{"id":15978,"date":"2025-05-03T06:36:07","date_gmt":"2025-05-03T06:36:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=15978"},"modified":"2025-05-03T06:36:07","modified_gmt":"2025-05-03T06:36:07","slug":"garanti-bbva-buyume-ve-dolar-tl-tahminini-dusurdu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/05\/03\/garanti-bbva-buyume-ve-dolar-tl-tahminini-dusurdu\/","title":{"rendered":"Garanti BBVA b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve dolar\/TL tahminini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Garanti BBVA son ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm notunda makroekonomik tahminlerinde de\u011fi\u015fiklikler yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Garanti BBVA Ba\u015fekonomisti Seda G\u00fcler Mert ve ekibi taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan notta T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin 2024 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 3,5&#8217;ten y\u00fczde 3,2 seviyesine indirildi. 2025 tahmini de y\u00fczde 3,5&#8217;ten y\u00fczde 2,7&#8217;ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. Garanti BBVA ekonomistleri uzun vadeli b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinde ise daha iyimser g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Bu vadede b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi y\u00fczde 3,5&#8217;ten y\u00fczde 4&#8217;e y\u00fckseltildi.<\/p>\n<p>Banka politika faizine y\u00f6nelik Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ilk indirim tahminini korudu. Bankan\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerine g\u00f6re 2025 sonunda politika faizi y\u00fczde 30 seviyesine kadar gelmi\u015f olacak.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Banka Dolar\/TL  tahmininde de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir revizyon ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Daha \u00f6nce 2024 i\u00e7in 38 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan dolar\/TL tahmini 37&#8217;ye \u00e7ekildi. 2025 sonu i\u00e7in beklenti ise 45,5 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Banka y\u0131l sonunda enflasyonun y\u00fczde 43 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcrken, 2025 i\u00e7in ise tahmin y\u00fczde 25 olarak a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Zay\u0131f i\u00e7 talep, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enerji maliyetlerinin etkisiyle cari denge g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn k\u0131sa vadede toparlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6ren Garanti BBVA ekonomistleri 2024&#8217;te cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 1,3; 2025 i\u00e7in ise y\u00fczde 1,6 olarak tahmin etti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/garanti-bbva-buyume-ve-dolartl-tahminini-dusurdu-3733318<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Garanti BBVA Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Birimi, Ekim ay\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc notunda 2024 dolar\/TL tahminlerini 38 seviyesinden 37 seviyesine indirdi. Garanti BBVA ekonomistleri 2024 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini de y\u00fczde 3,5&#8217;ten y\u00fczde 3,2&#8217;ye \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15979,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[720,117],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-15978","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-720","tag-tahmin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15978","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15978"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15978\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15980,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15978\/revisions\/15980"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15979"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15978"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15978"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15978"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=15978"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}