{"id":16454,"date":"2025-05-10T00:24:08","date_gmt":"2025-05-10T00:24:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=16454"},"modified":"2025-05-10T00:24:08","modified_gmt":"2025-05-10T00:24:08","slug":"ekonomistlere-gore-bu-yil-faiz-indirimi-zor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/05\/10\/ekonomistlere-gore-bu-yil-faiz-indirimi-zor\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekonomistlere g\u00f6re bu y\u0131l faiz indirimi zor"},"content":{"rendered":"
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T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu’nun (T\u00dc\u0130K) a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 veriler, enflasyonda piyasa beklentilerinin \u00fczerinde bir ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmeye i\u015faret ederken, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (TCMB) elini rahatlatacak sinyaller de vermedi.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye \u0130statistik Kurumu\u2019nun a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilere g\u00f6re (T\u00dc\u0130K) t\u00fcketici fiyat endeksi (T\u00dcFE) Ekim’de bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 ay\u0131na g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 48,58 artarken, ayl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f y\u00fczde 2,88 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n

T\u00dcFE Eyl\u00fcl’de hizmet fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n etkisiyle beklentilerin \u00fczerinde ayl\u0131k y\u00fczde 2,97, y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 49,38 art\u0131\u015f kaydetmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u0130ki ay \u00fcst \u00fcste ayl\u0131k bazda y\u00fcksek gelen enflasyon sonras\u0131nda dikkatler TCMB’nin para politikas\u0131 patikas\u0131na \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n

TCMB, politika faizini y\u00fczde 50 seviyesinde b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Eyl\u00fcl Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6zetinde \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00f6stergelerin Ekim ay\u0131nda g\u0131da fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyon \u00fczerinde etkili olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Ge\u00e7en ay\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda TBMM\u2019de konu\u015fan Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fatih Karahan ayl\u0131k T\u00dcFE art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n beklentilerinin \u00fczerinde oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ederek, enflasyona ili\u015fkin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risklerin daha belirgin oldu\u011funu kaydetmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

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<\/div>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n<\/p>\n

Bloomberg HT yay\u0131n\u0131na kat\u0131lan Bilgi \u00dcniversitesi Rekt\u00f6r\u00fc Prof. Dr. Ege Yazgan, TCMB’nin politika faizine bu y\u0131l dokunma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Yazgan, “Enflasyon dinami\u011fini kontrol alt\u0131na ald\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zdan emin olmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Asgari \u00fccret de y\u0131l sonunda devreye girecek, ikisi birlikte olursa asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 enflasyonun tetikleyicisi olacak. Ben TCMB’nin \u00e7ok \u00e7ok temkinli davranaca\u011f\u0131 kanaatindeyim. Politika faizine bu y\u0131l dokunma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 kalmad\u0131 diye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum” diye konu\u015ftu. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Ekonomist Veyis Fertekligil de faiz indiriminin gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fine kald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n

Fertekligil, “Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n beklentileri y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bir enflasyon gidi\u015fi yok. Kas\u0131m- Aral\u0131k \u00f6nemli olacak. Man\u015fet enflasyonun y\u00fczde 2\u2019nin alt\u0131na inmesi bekleniyordu, biraz zor olacak gibi g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor. Genel olarak enflasyonu y\u0131ll\u0131k y\u00fczde 45\u2019ler d\u00fczeyinde bitirmek s\u00f6z konusu olabilir. Faiz indirimi kesinlikle gelecek y\u0131la kaym\u0131\u015f durumda, Kas\u0131m- Aral\u0131k gibi beklemiyordum ama \u015fu rakamlarla gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ilk ilk \u00e7eyre\u011fi gibi g\u00f6z\u00fck\u00fcyor” dedi.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcr\u00fcmcek\u00e7i: Faiz indirimleri asgari \u00fccret karar\u0131 sonras\u0131na b\u0131rak\u0131lmal\u0131<\/strong><\/b><\/p>\n

Ekonomist Haluk B\u00fcr\u00fcmcek\u00e7i, enflasyon verileriyle ilgili notunda politika faizinde indirimin asgari \u00fccret gibi kritik kararlar\u0131n sonras\u0131na b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

B\u00fcr\u00fcmcek\u00e7i notunda “Politika faizinde Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda da de\u011fi\u015fim beklemezken, faiz indirimlerini asgari \u00fccret gibi kritik kararlar\u0131n sonras\u0131na b\u0131rak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n daha do\u011fru olaca\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesindeyiz. Ancak 26 Aral\u0131k PPK toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesi dezenflasyon hedefi ile uyumlu netle\u015fme olur ve Kas\u0131m T\u00dcFE olumlu gelirse faiz indirimi masada olabilir” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/ekonomistlere-gore-bu-yil-faiz-indirimi-zor-3733676<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Beklentileri a\u015fan enflasyon verisinin ard\u0131ndan ekonomistler y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan k\u0131sm\u0131nda faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n zor oldu\u011funa i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16455,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[223,789,227,405,430],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-16454","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-artis","tag-asgari-ucret","tag-enflasyon","tag-faiz","tag-politika"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16454","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16454"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16454\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16457,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16454\/revisions\/16457"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16455"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16454"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16454"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16454"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=16454"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}