{"id":21222,"date":"2025-05-26T07:00:08","date_gmt":"2025-05-26T07:00:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=21222"},"modified":"2025-05-26T07:00:08","modified_gmt":"2025-05-26T07:00:08","slug":"abd-10-yillik-tahvil-getirisinde-yuzde-6-beklentisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/05\/26\/abd-10-yillik-tahvil-getirisinde-yuzde-6-beklentisi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirisinde y\u00fczde 6 beklentisi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Kurumun sabit getirili yat\u0131r\u0131mlar m\u00fcd\u00fcr\u00fc Arif Husain yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, g\u00f6sterge getirinin 2025&#8217;in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 5&#8217;e ula\u015fabilece\u011fini ve potansiyel olarak daha da y\u00fckselebilece\u011fini yazd\u0131. Husain, getirilerde y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentisine gerek\u00e7e olarak Trump&#8217;\u0131n ikinci ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda vergileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken ABD b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n devam edecek olmas\u0131n\u0131, potansiyel g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifeleri ve g\u00f6\u00e7men politikalar\u0131n\u0131n fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi beklentisini g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>&#8220;Y\u00fczde 6&#8217;l\u0131k bir 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD devlet tahvili getirisi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn m\u00fc? Neden olmas\u0131n? Ancak bunu y\u00fczde 5&#8217;i a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnebiliriz,&#8221; diye yazan Husain, &#8220;ABD siyasetindeki ge\u00e7i\u015f d\u00f6nemi, uzun vadeli tahvil getirilerinin artmas\u0131 ve daha dik bir getiri e\u011frisi i\u00e7in pozisyon almak i\u00e7in bir f\u0131rsat&#8221; de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eirket bor\u00e7lanma maliyetinden ipoteklere kadar her \u015feyin fiyatland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 etkileyen 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD tahvil getirisi bu sabah Asya&#8217;daki i\u015flemlerde y\u00fczde 4,40 ile yatay seyrediyor. Bu y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda y\u00fczde 4,74&#8217;e kadar y\u00fckselen getiri en son 2000 y\u0131l\u0131nda y\u00fczde 6&#8217;ya ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu arada Bloomberg&#8217;in ayl\u0131k ekonomist anketine g\u00f6re, de\u011fi\u015fken g\u0131da ve enerji kategorilerini d\u0131\u015far\u0131da b\u0131rakan y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 fiyat endeksi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l ortalama y\u00fczde 2,5 artacak. Fed&#8217;in tercih etti\u011fi enflasyon \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fct\u00fc i\u00e7in bu tahmin, ge\u00e7en ayki ankette yer alan y\u00fczde 2,3&#8217;l\u00fck projeksiyonun \u00fczerinde. Ekonomistlerin bu tahminlerinde ya\u015fanan art\u0131\u015fta Trump&#8217;\u0131n olas\u0131 tarifelerine ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler etkili oldu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/abd-10-yillik-tahvil-getirisinde-yuzde-6-beklentisi-3737255<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T. Rowe Price&#8217;a g\u00f6re, ABD&#8217;nin mali sorunlar\u0131 k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ftik\u00e7e ve Ba\u015fkan se\u00e7ilen Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n politikalar\u0131 enflasyonun y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131na neden olduk\u00e7a, 10 y\u0131l vadeli ABD devlet tahvili getirisi yirmi y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n bir s\u00fcredir ula\u015fmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 6 seviyesine t\u0131rmanabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21223,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[443],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-21222","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-getiri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21222","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21222"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21222\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21224,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21222\/revisions\/21224"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21223"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21222"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21222"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21222"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=21222"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}