{"id":21805,"date":"2025-05-27T19:36:12","date_gmt":"2025-05-27T19:36:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=21805"},"modified":"2025-05-27T19:36:12","modified_gmt":"2025-05-27T19:36:12","slug":"asgari-ucrette-son-viraj-asgari-ucrette-senaryolar-neler","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/05\/27\/asgari-ucrette-son-viraj-asgari-ucrette-senaryolar-neler\/","title":{"rendered":"Asgari \u00fccrette son viraj: Asgari \u00fccrette senaryolar neler?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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01<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Do\u011frudan 7 milyondan fazla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan\u0131, dolayl\u0131 olarak ise toplumun tamam\u0131n\u0131 ilgilendiren yeni asgari \u00fccretin belirlenmesine y\u00f6nelik s\u00fcre\u00e7 devam ediyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7al\u0131\u015fma ve Sosyal G\u00fcvenlik Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131’n\u0131n ev sahipli\u011finde ilk toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 10 Aral\u0131k’ta, ikinci toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 16 Aral\u0131k’ta, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ise 19 Aral\u0131k’ta yapan Asgari \u00dccret Tespit Komisyonu, d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 bu hafta ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirecek.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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<\/p>\n
02<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

AA’n\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re Sal\u0131 veya \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lacak son toplant\u0131da, Komisyonun yeni asgari \u00fccret rakam\u0131n\u0131 belirlemesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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03<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

T\u00fcrk-\u0130\u015f mevcutta net 17 bin 2 lira olarak uygulanan asgari \u00fccrete, \u00f6nce y\u00fczde 45 oran\u0131nda enflasyon zamm\u0131 uygulanmas\u0131, ard\u0131ndan ortaya \u00e7\u0131kacak rakama y\u00fczde 20 refah pay\u0131 eklenmesi talebinde bulunmu\u015ftu. <\/p>\n

T\u00fcrk-\u0130\u015f Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Erg\u00fcn Atalay, bu talebin kar\u015f\u0131lanmamas\u0131 durumunda masada yeni \u00fccrete imza atmayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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04<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Asgari \u00fccret masas\u0131nda olmayan sendika konfederasyonlar\u0131ndan biri olan D\u0130SK, asgari \u00fccret maratonu \u00f6ncesinde taleplerini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. <\/p>\n

Konfederasyon, asgari \u00fccretin en az yoksulluk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131 civar\u0131nda olmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini belirtmi\u015fti. <\/p>\n

T\u00fcrk-\u0130\u015f’in verilerine g\u00f6re Kas\u0131m’da yoksulluk s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 66 bin 976 TL oldu. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla D\u0130SK’in talebi yakla\u015f\u0131k 33 bin 500 TL seviyesine i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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05<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

\u0130\u015f\u00e7i kesiminden talepler gelirken, masada i\u015fverenleri temsil eden T\u0130SK’ten herhangi bir a\u00e7\u0131klama gelmedi. <\/p>\n

AA’n\u0131n haberine g\u00f6re T\u0130SK’in T\u00fcrk-\u0130\u015f’in talebine s\u0131cak bakmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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06<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Masada olmayan i\u015fveren \u00f6rg\u00fctlerinden en net talep M\u00dcS\u0130AD cephesinden gelmi\u015fti. <\/p>\n

M\u00dcS\u0130AD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Mahmut Asmal\u0131, Bloomberg HT’de kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 Varl\u0131k Y\u00f6netimi program\u0131nda “Bana g\u00f6re asgari \u00fccrette y\u00fczde 25’in \u00fczerinde art\u0131\u015f do\u011fru de\u011fil” ifadelerini kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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07<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Asgari \u00fccrette olas\u0131 senaryolar \u015f\u00f6yle s\u0131raland\u0131: <\/p>\n

1- Y\u00fczde 17,5 ve y\u00fczde 21: 19 bin 977 ile 20 bin 572 TL<\/strong><\/p>\n

Asgari \u00fccret tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131nda konu\u015fulan konulardan biri art\u0131\u015f\u0131n hedef enflasyona g\u00f6re yap\u0131lmas\u0131.<\/p>\n

Orta Vadeli Program’a g\u00f6re 2025 i\u00e7in enflasyon beklentisi y\u00fczde 17,5 seviyesinde. OVP’de yer alan hedef enflasyona g\u00f6re zam yap\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda asgari \u00fccret 2025 i\u00e7in 19 bin 977 seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kacak.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131 (TCMB) ise son enflasyon raporunda 2025 i\u00e7in enflasyon beklentisini y\u00fczde 14’ten y\u00fczde 21 seviyesine \u00e7\u0131karm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. TCMB’nin enflasyon beklentisi dikkate al\u0131n\u0131rsa asgari \u00fccret y\u00fczde 21 art\u0131\u015fla 20 bin 572 TL’ye \u00e7\u0131kacak.<\/p>\n

Son enflasyon raporu sunumunda TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fatih Karahan, asgari \u00fccret konusunda karar verici merci olmad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 vurgularken, enflasyona etkileri ba\u011flam\u0131nda da bu konuda de\u011ferlendirmeler olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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08<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

2- Y\u00fczde 25: 21 bin 253 TL<\/strong><\/p>\n

TCMB’nin son enflasyon raporunda 2025 i\u00e7in enflasyon tahmininin \u00fcst band\u0131 y\u00fczde 26 olarak belirlendi.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte yabanc\u0131 kurumlardan gelen baz\u0131 yorumlar ve yetkili isimlerden gelen a\u00e7\u0131klamalar asgari \u00fccrette ikinci senaryo olarak y\u00fczde 25 seviyesinin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131na neden oldu.<\/p>\n

Ekim ay\u0131n\u0131n sonunda TCMB Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fatih Karahan\u2019\u0131n Washington\u2019da yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131larla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerde 2025 para politikas\u0131n\u0131 \u015fekillendirirken asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 boyutunu da de\u011ferlendirmeye alacaklar\u0131 mesaj\u0131n\u0131 verdi\u011fi belirtilmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Bloomberg’e konu\u015fan ve Karahan’\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131larla toplant\u0131s\u0131ndan edinilen bilgilere at\u0131fta bulunan kaynaklara g\u00f6re yetkililer y\u00fczde 25 civar\u0131 asgari \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n 2025 enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcyle uyumlu olaca\u011f\u0131 mesaj\u0131n\u0131 vermi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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09<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

3- Y\u00fczde 30: 22 bin 103 TL<\/strong><\/p>\n

Asgari \u00fccrete ili\u015fkin g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f bildiren yabanc\u0131 kurumlardan bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc de y\u00fczde 30\u2019l\u0131k tahmin belirtti.<\/p>\n

Bu oranda bir zam yap\u0131lmas\u0131 durumunda asgari \u00fccret 22 bin 103 lira olacak.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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10<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

4- Y\u00fczde 35: 22 bin 953 TL<\/strong><\/p>\n

Asgari \u00fccrette y\u00fczde 35’lik art\u0131\u015f senaryosu da farkl\u0131 d\u00fczeylerde dile getiriliyor.<\/p>\n

Bu senaryoda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen enflasyona daha yak\u0131n bir asgari \u00fccret tahmini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. S\u00f6z konusu senaryo siyaset sahnesinde de dile getirilen senaryolar aras\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

E\u011fer pazarl\u0131klar b\u00f6yle ba\u015flar ve ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 35 ile biterse asgari \u00fccret 22 bin 953 lira olarak uygulanacak.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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11<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

5- Y\u00fczde 44: 24 bin 483 TL<\/strong><\/p>\n

Son senaryo ise ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen enflasyona g\u00f6re bir art\u0131\u015f yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde.<\/p>\n

TCMB’nin son enflasyon raporunda 2024 y\u0131l sonu i\u00e7in enflasyon tahmini y\u00fczde 38’den y\u00fczde 44’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n

Kamuoyunda asgari \u00fccretlilerin refah kayb\u0131 ya\u015famamas\u0131 i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen enflasyona g\u00f6re zam senaryosu da \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ankara’da siyaset arenas\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi, baz\u0131 akademisyenler de ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen enflasyona i\u015faret etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

E\u011fer bu veri baz al\u0131n\u0131rsa, asgari \u00fccret 24 bin 843 lira olacak.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/asgari-ucrette-son-viraj-asgari-ucrette-senaryolar-3737680<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

2025 asgari \u00fccret belirleme s\u00fcrecinde sona gelindi. Komisyonun bu hafta yapaca\u011f\u0131 toplant\u0131yla yeni asgari \u00fccreti a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 bekleniyor. Masada i\u015f\u00e7i taraf\u0131n\u0131 temsil eden T\u00fcrk-\u0130\u015f talebinin 29 bin 583 TL oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Bu rakam mevcut asgari \u00fccrete g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 74’l\u00fck art\u0131\u015fa kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geliyor. \u0130\u015fveren taraf\u0131ndan bu talebe s\u0131cak bak\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtilirken, masada olmasa da art\u0131\u015f\u0131n y\u00fczde 25’i a\u015fmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen i\u015fveren temsilcileri de bulunuyor. \u0130\u015fte asgari \u00fccrette senaryolar…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21806,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[223,789,227,2393,459],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-21805","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-artis","tag-asgari-ucret","tag-enflasyon","tag-senaryo","tag-tcmb"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21805","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21805"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21805\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21818,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21805\/revisions\/21818"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21806"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21805"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21805"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21805"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=21805"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}