Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (UEA) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fatih Birol, Sabanc\u0131 \u00dcniversitesi \u0130stanbul Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji ve \u0130klim Merkezi’nin (IICEC) “Ekonomik B\u00fcy\u00fcme ve Enerji: Gelece\u011fin Ekonomisini \u015eekillendirmek” temas\u0131yla d\u00fczenledi\u011fi IICEC Konferans\u0131’nda, k\u00fcresel enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc de\u011ferlendirdi.<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu’daki gerginliklere ra\u011fmen petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 70 dolar civar\u0131nda seyretti\u011fine dikkati \u00e7eken Birol, ge\u00e7mi\u015fte benzer durumlarda 3 haneli petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc an\u0131msatt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Birol, bu durumun talepteki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmay\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, “15 ay \u00f6nce Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 olarak, ‘2024’te, d\u00fcnya petrol talebi ge\u00e7mi\u015ftekinin aksine en fazla 1 milyon varil b\u00fcy\u00fcyebilir’ dedik. Bu ge\u00e7mi\u015ftekilere g\u00f6re son derece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir rakam. Herkes \u015fa\u015f\u0131rd\u0131” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Elektrik fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gelecekte enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde belirleyici role sahip olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirten Birol, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
“Benim ‘American quartet’i (Amerikan d\u00f6rtl\u00fcs\u00fc) dedi\u011fim, ABD, Kanada, Brezilya ve Guyana’dan \u00e7ok fazla petrol \u00fcretimi geliyor. H\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde petrol art\u0131yor. Sadece bu 4 \u00fclkeden gelen petrol art\u0131\u015f\u0131, b\u00fct\u00fcn d\u00fcnyan\u0131n toplam petrol talebindeki art\u0131\u015ftan daha fazla. O bak\u0131mdan, tahmin etti\u011fimiz gibi, \u015fu anda petrol fiyatlar\u0131 70 dolar civar\u0131nda. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck politik s\u00fcrprizler olmaz ise fiyatlar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan petrol piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n rahat bir pazar olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
Birol, do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu vurgulayarak, “2025 sonu itibar\u0131yla d\u00fcnyaya \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda yeni LNG sevkiyat\u0131 olacak ve 2026-27’de devam edecek. \u00d6zellikle ABD ve Katar’dan. O kadar fazla gelecek ki, bu 2,5-3 y\u0131lda gelecek yeni LNG miktar\u0131, 40 y\u0131lda gelen LNG miktar\u0131n\u0131n hemen hemen yar\u0131s\u0131na e\u015fit. Bu da \u015fimdiye kadar sat\u0131c\u0131n\u0131n ellerinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011fu do\u011falgaz piyasalar\u0131n\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n ellerinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011fu piyasalara \u00e7evirecek. Bu da do\u011falgaz piyasalar\u0131nda fiyatlar\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru bask\u0131 yapacak. Bu, T\u00fcrkiye gibi, enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131n cari a\u00e7\u0131kta \u00f6nemli rol oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in g\u00fczel ve \u00f6nemli bir ara\u00e7” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
“D\u00fcnya elektrik talebi enerji talebinden 6 kat fazla b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek” <\/b><\/p>\n
Petrol ve do\u011falgaz\u0131n enerji piyasas\u0131ndaki bask\u0131n rol\u00fcne dikkati \u00e7eken Birol, bu durumun uzun y\u0131llar boyunca devam edece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Birol, elektrik kullan\u0131m\u0131nda \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ederek, “Ge\u00e7en 10 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde d\u00fcnya enerji talebi b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. Ama d\u00fcnya elektrik talebi d\u00fcnya enerji talebinden iki misli daha fazla b\u00fcy\u00fcd\u00fc. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l i\u00e7erisinde konservatif bir bak\u0131\u015fla da baksak d\u00fcnya elektrik talebi d\u00fcnya enerji talebinden 6 misli fazla b\u00fcy\u00fcyecek. Elektrik kullan\u0131m\u0131 \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde art\u0131yor” de\u011ferlendirmesinde bulundu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
K\u00fcresel enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcn ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcme ili\u015fkin Birol, “Bu transformasyonun \u00e7evre politikalar\u0131yla ilgisi yok ya da \u00e7ok az ilgisi var. Bu, tamam\u0131yla sanayi politikalar\u0131 ve arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi politikalar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan bir \u015fey. \u00c7evre politikalar\u0131yla bazen uyu\u015fuyor, bazen de uyu\u015fmuyor. \u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine olan ilgi azal\u0131rsa bu transformasyon durur mu? Durmaz, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc sanayinin ilerlemesi i\u00e7in geli\u015fme bu y\u00f6nde” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/elektrik-fiyatlari-enerjide-belirleyici-rol-ustlenecek-3737775<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Uluslararas\u0131 Enerji Ajans\u0131 (UEA) Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Fatih Birol,\u00a0elektrik\u00a0fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n gelecekte enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde belirleyici role sahip olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":21974,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1115,133,285,244,1024],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-21973","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-birol","tag-dunya","tag-enerji","tag-petrol","tag-talebi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21973","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21973"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21973\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21975,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21973\/revisions\/21975"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21974"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21973"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21973"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21973"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=21973"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}