Almanya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Bundesbank), taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan ekonomiye y\u00f6nelik Ocak ay\u0131 raporunda, Alman ekonomisinin gelece\u011finin belirsizli\u011fini korudu\u011fu belirtilerek, ekonominin 2024’\u00fcn d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011finde de zay\u0131f kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n (GSYH) y\u00fczde 0,1 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi aktar\u0131lan raporda, \u201cAlman ekonomisinin 2025’in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde de durgunluktan kurtulmas\u0131 pek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor\u201d ifadesi yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu durgunlu\u011fun zay\u0131f imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ve hane halk\u0131 harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131layan belirsizliklere ba\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, Almanya\u2019da Avrupa Birli\u011fi uyumlu y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun Aral\u0131k 2024\u2019te y\u00fczde 2,8\u2019e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, \u201d2025’in ba\u015f\u0131nda enflasyonun ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 muhtemel. Bunun nedeni fosil yak\u0131tlar i\u00e7in karbon emisyon fiyat\u0131n\u0131n daha da artmas\u0131, toplu ta\u015f\u0131ma bileti ve \u00f6zel sa\u011fl\u0131k sigortas\u0131 alan\u0131ndaki fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131d\u0131r. Ancak ilerleyen aylarda enflasyon oran\u0131n\u0131n yeniden \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 hale gelmesi muhtemel\u201d denildi.<\/p>\n
Bundesbank’a g\u00f6re ekonomi, sanayide s\u00fcregelen sorunlar nedeniyle de b\u00fcy\u00fcmekte zorlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Raporda, \u201cUzmanlar\u0131n de\u011ferlendirmesine g\u00f6re sanayi, de\u011fi\u015fen yap\u0131sal ko\u015fullara uyum sa\u011flama konusunda b\u00fcy\u00fck bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda. Alman sanayisinin rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn azalmas\u0131 ve \u00f6zellikle \u00c7in’den gelen y\u00fcksek rekabet bask\u0131s\u0131, ihracat\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesine neden oldu\u201d ifadeleri kullan\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Almanya ekonomisi art arda iki y\u0131l k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcld\u00fc <\/b><\/p>\n
Alman ekonomisi, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l \u00c7in ile artan rekabet ve yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131n ekonomiyi frenlemesiyle art arda ikinci y\u0131l k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme kaydetti.<\/p>\n
\u00dclkede mevsim ve takvim etkilerinden ar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f GSYH, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,1 daral\u0131rken, 2024 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n tamam\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,2 geriledi. Ekonomide 2023\u2019teki y\u00fczde 0,3’l\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan 2024\u2019te de daralma g\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\u00dclke ekonomisi, en son 2002-2003 d\u00f6neminde iki y\u0131l art arda k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\u00dclke, 2025’in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde de daral\u0131rsa teknik resesyona girecek <\/b><\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n son \u00e7eyre\u011finde y\u00fczde 0,1 k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen ekonomi, 2025’in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde de daralmas\u0131 halinde, iki \u00e7eyrek art arda daralma olarak tan\u0131mlanan teknik resesyona girecek.<\/p>\n
Ifo, 5 Eyl\u00fcl’de, \u00fclkenin 2024 ve gelecek y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini, zay\u0131f yat\u0131r\u0131m ve sipari\u015f durumu nedeniyle y\u00fczde 0,4’ten s\u0131f\u0131ra d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) da 22 Ekim\u2019de Almanya’n\u0131n bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini y\u00fczde 0,2’den 0’a indirmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
\u00dclke ekonomisi ge\u00e7en y\u0131l al\u0131\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeydeki enflasyonun sat\u0131n alma g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc etkilemesi, y\u00fcksek enerji fiyatlar\u0131, d\u00fc\u015fen yat\u0131r\u0131mlar, zay\u0131f d\u0131\u015f talep ve faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksekli\u011fi gibi nedenlerle bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,3 daralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Almanya b\u00f6ylece, G7 \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7inde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclen tek \u00fclke olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Alman ekonomisi bu y\u0131l da k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcrse 2023’te oldu\u011fu gibi, G7 ekonomileri aras\u0131nda daralan tek \u00fclke olacak.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/bundesbank-tan-alman-ekonomisi-yorumu-3739817<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Almanya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Bundesbank), 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in ekonomide kayda de\u011fer bir toparlanman\u0131n \u015fu anda olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmedi\u011fini ve y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda enflasyon oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24694,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[215,318,572,211,256],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-24693","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-art","tag-ceyreginde","tag-ekonomisi","tag-tek","tag-ulke"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24693","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24693"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24693\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24695,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24693\/revisions\/24695"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24694"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24693"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24693"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24693"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=24693"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}