Fitch’ten yap\u0131lan a\u00e7\u0131klamada, 1 \u015eubat’ta Beyaz Saray’\u0131n Meksika ve Kanada’dan t\u00fcm ithalata g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi getirdi\u011fi fakat tarifelerin y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmeden bir g\u00fcn \u00f6nce, g\u00f6\u00e7, s\u0131n\u0131r g\u00fcvenli\u011fi ve ticaret gibi konularda ikili m\u00fczakereler i\u00e7in bir ay s\u00fcreyle ask\u0131ya al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Aral\u0131k 2024’te Fitch’in yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, ABD’nin korumac\u0131 bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret edilen a\u00e7\u0131klamada, ancak burada y\u00fczde 25 ek tarifenin Meksika’dan ithalat\u0131n y\u00fczde 11’i ve Kanada’dan ithalat\u0131n y\u00fczde 21’ine uygulanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n varsay\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131klamada, neredeyse t\u00fcm ithalata uygulanacak g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin ABD’nin Kanada ve Meksika’ya y\u00f6nelik mevcut tarife oranlar\u0131nda \u00e7ok daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015fa yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 belirtilerek, ABD’nin \u00c7in’den ithal edilen mallara ek y\u00fczde 10 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131n ise raporda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclenden daha az agresif oldu\u011fu kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
\u00c7in’in ABD’nin ticaret soru\u015fturmalar\u0131na tabi oldu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen a\u00e7\u0131klamada, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump’\u0131n getirdi\u011fi y\u00fczde 10 ek tarifeyi “a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f salvosu” olarak tan\u0131mlamas\u0131 ve ABD ticaret a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaya odaklanmas\u0131yla tutarl\u0131 olarak, \u00c7in’den ithalata g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin bu y\u0131l daha da artmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
“Y\u00fcksek tarifeler k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yapacak” <\/b><\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131klamada, ABD’nin Kanada ve Meksika ile m\u00fczakerelerinin sonu\u00e7lar\u0131yla \u00c7in ile benzer \u015fekilde gerilimi azaltma \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l devam edebilece\u011finin belirsiz oldu\u011fu vurgulan\u0131rken, ABD’de baz\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar gruplar\u0131n\u0131n tarifelerin olumsuz sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 konusunda uyard\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
ABD’nin ticaret politikas\u0131n\u0131n, Fitch’in makroekonomik tahminleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan etkilenen \u00fclkelere ili\u015fkin a\u00e7\u0131k ve \u00f6nemli bir risk olu\u015fturdu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen a\u00e7\u0131klamada, daha y\u00fcksek tarifelerin k\u00fcresel b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131na dikkat \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131klamada, Kanada ve Meksika’ya y\u00f6nelik tarife oranlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fclkelerden ithalata y\u00f6nelik tarife varsay\u0131mlar\u0131yla birlikte ABD’nin genel g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi oran\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 2,3’ten y\u00fczde 13,3’e y\u00fckseltece\u011fi kaydedildi. Aral\u0131k ay\u0131ndaki raporda bu oran\u0131n y\u00fczde 7,9’a \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc an\u0131msat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Oranlarda 11 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ithalat vergilerinde 350 milyar dolarl\u0131k ek bir art\u0131\u015fa e\u015fde\u011fer oldu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen a\u00e7\u0131klamada, bunun t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 ve firmalar\u0131n girdi maliyetleri \u00fczerinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yarataca\u011f\u0131 vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD ticaret politikas\u0131ndaki belirsizli\u011fin yat\u0131r\u0131m ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi etkileyebilece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131 <\/b><\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131klamada, bunun 2026’da ABD reel gayrisafi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131las\u0131nda (GSYH) y\u00fczde eksi 0,4 puan etkiye yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 belirtilerek, \u00fclkede t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n muhtemelen ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faiz indirimlerini daha da yava\u015flataca\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Meksika ve Kanada ekonomileri \u00fczerindeki etkilerin daha b\u00fcy\u00fck olaca\u011f\u0131 ifade edilen a\u00e7\u0131klamada, yeni tarife oranlar\u0131n\u0131n 2026’da reel GSYH’yi Meksika’da eksi 2,3 puan ve Kanada i\u00e7in eksi 1,4 puan etkileyece\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131klamada, nihai tarife art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 daha az \u015fiddetli olsa bile ABD ticaret politikas\u0131ndaki devam eden belirsizli\u011fin yat\u0131r\u0131m ve b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi etkileyebilece\u011fi vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Tarifelerin, \u00c7in’deki mali te\u015fvik gibi politika yan\u0131tlar\u0131n\u0131 te\u015fvik edebilece\u011fine de\u011finilen a\u00e7\u0131klamada, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar\u0131n d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131na, fiyat dinamiklerine ve potansiyel olarak baz\u0131 ABD ticaret ortaklar\u0131ndaki para politikas\u0131 ayarlamalar\u0131yla finansal ko\u015fullara yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131 ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/fitch-ten-abd-tarifelerinin-risk-yaratacagi-uyarisi-3740879<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings, ABD’nin Meksika, Kanada ve \u00c7in’den ithalata y\u00f6nelik a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergilerinin Donald Trump y\u00f6netiminin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclenden daha agresif bir ticaret politikas\u0131 uygulayabilece\u011fini g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[245,2133,352,1563,320],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-25954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abd","tag-abdnin","tag-ithal","tag-kanada","tag-tarife"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25954","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=25954"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25954\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25955,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/25954\/revisions\/25955"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=25954"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=25954"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=25954"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=25954"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}