S&P Global, Avrupa’n\u0131n savunma harcamalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin se\u00e7enekleri i\u00e7eren raporunu yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, Rusya-Ukrayna Sava\u015f\u0131’n\u0131n Avrupa’n\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik zafiyetlerini ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131, Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin, 2014’ten bu yana savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 neredeyse iki kat\u0131 art\u0131rmalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen halen NATO’nun Gayri Safi Yurt i\u00e7i Has\u0131la’n\u0131n (GSYH) y\u00fczde 2’si olarak belirledi\u011fi hedefin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
ABD’nin, NATO’nun askeri b\u00fct\u00e7esinin yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7te ikisini finanse etti\u011fi belirtilen raporda, mali k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin askeri harcamalar\u0131 art\u0131rma kapasitesini s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131, bu nedenle \u00fclkelerin AB destekli tahviller gibi savunma i\u00e7in ortak finansman se\u00e7eneklerini ara\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump’\u0131n, NATO \u00fcyelerine GSYH’lerinin y\u00fczde 5’ini savunmaya harcamalar\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu an\u0131msat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
“Sosyal harcamalar\u0131n kesilmesi \u00f6nemli siyasi sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furabilir” <\/b><\/p>\n
NATO \u00fcyesi Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik 3 farkl\u0131 senaryonun yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 raporda, ilk senaryoda savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 2,67’ye, ikinci senaryoda ABD seviyesi olan y\u00fczde 3,3’e, \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc senaryoda da y\u00fczde 5’e y\u00fckseltilmesi durumu de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, senaryolar \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131lda 242 milyar dolardan 875 milyar dolara kadar art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, \u00f6zellikle y\u00fczde 5’lik bir art\u0131\u015f\u0131n, di\u011fer harcamalarda kesintiler yap\u0131lmadan veya kredi seviyeleri bask\u0131 alt\u0131na girmeden finanse edilemeyece\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) mali kurallar\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fiklik yap\u0131lmamas\u0131 durumunda, \u00e7o\u011fu Birlik \u00fcyesi \u00fclkenin savunma harcamalar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f seviyesini kar\u015f\u0131lamak i\u00e7in b\u00fct\u00e7elerini yeniden \u00f6nceliklere g\u00f6re d\u00fczenlemek zorunda kalaca\u011f\u0131 belirtilen raporda, savunmaya daha fazla harcama yapabilmek i\u00e7in sosyal harcamalar\u0131n kesilmesinin gerekebilece\u011fi ve bunun \u00f6nemli siyasi sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furabilece\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, bir\u00e7ok Avrupa \u00fclkesinin halihaz\u0131rda y\u00fcksek kamu borcu ve b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131yla m\u00fccadele etti\u011fi, yava\u015flayan ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme, n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131z kesmesi ve artan sosyal maliyetler aras\u0131nda daha fazla askeri harcama yapman\u0131n zor olaca\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
“Ortak bor\u00e7lanma bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olabilir” <\/b><\/p>\n
Y\u00fczde 5 savunma harcamas\u0131 senaryosunda, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Romanya’da y\u00fczde 9,5, Fransa’da y\u00fczde 8,9, \u0130talya’da y\u00fczde 7,1 ve \u0130ngiltere’de y\u00fczde 7’ye \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 belirtilen raporda, bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131n kredi notlar\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkileyebilece\u011fi bildirildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, artan askeri harcamalar\u0131n ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi te\u015fvik etmesinin beklenmedi\u011fi vurgulanarak, AB’de savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n mali \u00e7arpan etkisinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 hat\u0131rlat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Savunma harcamalar\u0131 konusunda ortak bor\u00e7lanman\u0131n bir se\u00e7enek oldu\u011funa i\u015faret edilen raporda, Almanya dahil baz\u0131 \u00fclkeler buna kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131ksa da Norve\u00e7 ve \u0130ngiltere gibi AB \u00fcyesi olmayan \u00fclkeleri de i\u00e7eren bir ortak finansman d\u00fczenlemesinin kredi itibar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/s-p-den-savunma-harcamasi-uyarisi-3741730<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu S&P Global, Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump’\u0131n istedi\u011fi y\u00fczde 5 seviyesine \u00e7\u0131karmalar\u0131 durumunda kredi notlar\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini bildirdi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":27009,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[458,1286,222,2130,261],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-27008","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-avrupa","tag-harcamalari","tag-raporda","tag-savunma","tag-ulkeler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27008","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27008"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27008\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27010,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27008\/revisions\/27010"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27009"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27008"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27008"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27008"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=27008"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}