{"id":29292,"date":"2025-10-23T04:36:07","date_gmt":"2025-10-23T04:36:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=29292"},"modified":"2025-10-23T04:36:07","modified_gmt":"2025-10-23T04:36:07","slug":"iki-yabancidan-tcmb-hazirandan-sonra-gevsemede-frene-basacak-tahmini","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/10\/23\/iki-yabancidan-tcmb-hazirandan-sonra-gevsemede-frene-basacak-tahmini\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ki yabanc\u0131dan &#8220;TCMB Haziran&#8217;dan sonra gev\u015femede frene basacak&#8221; tahmini"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Deutsche Bank, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n (TCMB) Haziran ay\u0131nda gev\u015femede aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131 frene koyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Deutsche Bank Ekonomisti Yi\u011fit Onay ve Stratejist Christian Wietoska taraf\u0131ndan TCMB&#8217;nin Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131 ard\u0131ndan servis edilen notta Haziran&#8217;da faiz gev\u015feme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n 250 baz puandan 150 baz puana indirilece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Notta gev\u015feme temposunun y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda da bu \u015fekilde olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n<p>Notta bankan\u0131n y\u0131l sonu enflasyon beklentisinin de y\u00fczde 28 oldu\u011fu belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>Benzer \u015fekilde Morgan Stanley de Haziran&#8217;dan sonra gev\u015femede daha yava\u015f bir tempo \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley, TCMB&#8217;nin Nisan ay\u0131nda faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 250 baz puan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesini ve Haziran ay\u0131ndan itibaren indirim h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 azaltarak y\u0131lsonunda y\u00fczde 30,5&#8217;e indirmesini bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley Ekonomisti Hande K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck&#8217;\u00fcn haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 notta TCMB&#8217;nin karar metninin daha temkinli bir tona sahip oldu\u011fu Para Politikas\u0131 Kurulu&#8217;nun gerekirse faiz indirimlerinin h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 azaltmaya haz\u0131r oldu\u011fu sinyalini verdi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<p>K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck, \u201c\u015eubat enflasyonundaki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u00fcrprize ra\u011fmen PPK&#8217;n\u0131n kredi b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi ve i\u00e7 talebe vurgu yapmas\u0131n\u0131n daha temkinli bir tona i\u015faret etti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Morgan Stanley, kredilerin ve i\u00e7 talebin b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131na y\u00f6nelik yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riskleri g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcnde bulundurarak ve yurt i\u00e7in yerle\u015fiklerin portf\u00f6ylerinde TL&#8217;nin tercih edilmeye devam etmesini desteklemek i\u00e7in TCMB&#8217;nin politika faizinin y\u00fczde 40&#8217;a ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan gev\u015feme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/iki-yabancidan-tcmb-haziran-dan-sonra-gevsemede-frene-basacak-tahmini-3743475<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Deutsche Bank, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n Mart toplant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmede Haziran ay\u0131nda faiz indirim temposunun 250 baz puandan 150 baz puana inece\u011fini, y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda da bu tempoda gev\u015feyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29293,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[3292],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-29292","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-gevseme"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29292","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29292"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29292\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29294,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29292\/revisions\/29294"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29293"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29292"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29292"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29292"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=29292"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}