{"id":33120,"date":"2025-11-02T21:00:07","date_gmt":"2025-11-02T21:00:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=33120"},"modified":"2025-11-02T21:00:07","modified_gmt":"2025-11-02T21:00:07","slug":"imfden-abdde-resesyon-uyarisi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/11\/02\/imfden-abdde-resesyon-uyarisi\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF&#8217;den ABD&#8217;de resesyon uyar\u0131s\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) Ekonomi Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, D\u00fcnya Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu&#8217;nun yay\u0131mlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan d\u00fczenlenen bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011ferlendirmelerde bulundu.<\/p>\n<p>Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, &#8220;Son 80 y\u0131ld\u0131r i\u015fleyen k\u00fcresel ekonomik sistem s\u0131f\u0131rlan\u0131rken yeni bir d\u00f6neme giriyoruz&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<p>ABD&#8217;nin y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fckteki tarife oran\u0131n\u0131n 100 y\u0131ldan fazla bir s\u00fcredir g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f seviyeleri a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden Gourinchas, artan ticari gerilimler ve belirsizli\u011fin k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yava\u015flataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n<p>Gourinchas, k\u00fcresel ekonomiye y\u00f6nelik risklerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oldu\u011funu aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><b> ABD i\u00e7in resesyon olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 40&#8217;a y\u00fckseldi <\/b><\/p>\n<p>ABD&#8217;de ekonomisinde \u00f6nemli bir yava\u015flama \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini belirten Gourinchas, \u00fclke ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,8 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ettiklerini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Gourinchas, ocak ay\u0131ndaki tahminlerine k\u0131yasla ABD ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinde 0,9 puanl\u0131k a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir revizyon oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ederek, ancak \u00fclke ekonomisi i\u00e7in \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131n\u0131n bir resesyon olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>ABD ekonomisinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir konumda oldu\u011funu belirten Gourinchas, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131n\u0131n hala g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n<p>Tarife a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131ndan \u00f6nce de ABD ekonomisinde baz\u0131 zay\u0131flama ve yava\u015flama i\u015faretleri g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini aktaran Gourinchas, &#8220;Referans tahminimizde bir resesyon \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fcyoruz. Risk de\u011ferlendirmemizi yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, resesyon olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ekim ay\u0131ndaki y\u00fczde 25 seviyesinden \u015fu anda y\u00fczde 40 civar\u0131na y\u00fckseldi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/imf-den-abd-de-resesyon-uyarisi-3746962<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) Ekonomi Dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 ve Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, ABD ekonomisi i\u00e7in bir resesyon \u00f6ng\u00f6rmediklerini ancak bu y\u00f6ndeki olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n y\u00fckseldi\u011fini ifade etti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":33121,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[245,118,80],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-33120","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abd","tag-ekonomi","tag-is"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33120","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33120"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33120\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33122,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33120\/revisions\/33122"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33121"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33120"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33120"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33120"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=33120"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}