{"id":33301,"date":"2025-11-03T08:48:07","date_gmt":"2025-11-03T08:48:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=33301"},"modified":"2025-11-03T08:48:07","modified_gmt":"2025-11-03T08:48:07","slug":"almanyada-2025-buyume-beklentisi-dustu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/11\/03\/almanyada-2025-buyume-beklentisi-dustu\/","title":{"rendered":"Almanya&#8217;da 2025 b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Almanya Ekonomi ve \u0130klim Koruma Bakan\u0131 Robert Habeck, h\u00fck\u00fcmet taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme raporuna ili\u015fkin ba\u015fkent Berlin&#8217;de bas\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fczenledi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in ocakta y\u00fczde 0,3 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan resmi b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin y\u00fczde 0&#8217;a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ifade eden Habeck, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininin ise y\u00fczde 1,1&#8217;den 1&#8217;e revize edildi\u011fini kaydetti.<\/p>\n<p>Habeck, ekonominin iki y\u0131l art arda ya\u015fanan resesyonun ard\u0131ndan zor bir d\u00f6nemden ge\u00e7ti\u011fine dikkati \u00e7ekerek, ABD&#8217;nin \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemeyen ticaret politikas\u0131 nedeniyle Alman ekonomisinin bir kez daha b\u00fcy\u00fck zorluklarla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>Robert Habeck, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi tehdidi ve uygulamas\u0131n\u0131n ihracat odakl\u0131 Alman ekonomisi \u00fczerinde g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc etkiye sahip olmas\u0131n\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyona sebep olarak g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n<p><b> &#8220;Yeni h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kalifiye i\u015f\u00e7i a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 gidermesi \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli&#8221; <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Yak\u0131nda g\u00f6revini devredecek olan Habeck, &#8220;Alman ekonomisinin k\u00fcresel tedarik zincirlerine yak\u0131n entegrasyonu ve y\u00fcksek d\u0131\u015f ticaret a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, yeni ABD korumac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmemiz \u00fczerinde \u00f6nemli do\u011frudan ve dolayl\u0131 etkileri olabilir&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Zorlu jeopolitik ve ekonomik ortamda bir sonraki federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetin de yapmas\u0131 gereken ev \u00f6devleri oldu\u011funu belirten Habeck, 6 May\u0131s&#8217;ta kurulmas\u0131 beklenen yeni koalisyon h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin kalifiye i\u015f\u00e7i a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 gidermesi, yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131 ve daha fazla dijitalle\u015fme sa\u011flamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Habeck, &#8220;Kendi ev \u00f6devimizi yapmam\u0131z \u00e7ok \u00f6nemli olacak&#8221; diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n<p><b> \u0130hracat d\u00fc\u015fecek <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Alman ekonomi y\u00f6netimi, 2024&#8217;te ortalama y\u00fczde 2,2 olan enflasyonun 2025 i\u00e7in ortalama y\u00fczde 2&#8217;ye inece\u011fi ve 2026&#8217;da y\u00fczde 1,9&#8217;a d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dclkede i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n 2025&#8217;te y\u00fczde 6&#8217;dan 6,3&#8217;e \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin edilirken 2026\u2019da y\u00fczde 6,2&#8217;lik i\u015fsizlik bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130hracat\u0131n ise ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,1 geriledikten sonra, Alman \u00fcr\u00fcnlerinin zay\u0131flayan rekabet g\u00fcc\u00fc, artan jeopolitik ve ticari gerginlikler nedeniyle 2025&#8217;te bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 2,2 d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>2026&#8217;da ihracat\u0131n y\u00fczde 1,3 artaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p><b> Ekonomi b\u00fcy\u00fcmede zorlan\u0131yor <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Bu arada, tarife sava\u015flar\u0131 ve ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump&#8217;\u0131n baz\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 k\u00fcresel ticaret \u00fczerindeki olumsuz etkilere ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri k\u00f6r\u00fcklerken, \u00e7o\u011fu analist, Trump&#8217;\u0131n g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi politikas\u0131n\u0131 Alman ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinde &#8220;\u00f6zel risk&#8221; olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan, b\u00f6lgedeki di\u011fer \u00fclkelere k\u0131yasla daha b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan Alman ekonomisi, \u00fcretimdeki kal\u0131c\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131k nedeniyle k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00dclke ekonomisi, 2024&#8217;\u00fcn tamam\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,2 geriledi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7in ile artan rekabet ve yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131n ekonomiyi frenlemesiyle art arda ikinci y\u0131l k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fand\u0131. Ekonomi, 2023&#8217;te y\u00fczde 0,3 daralm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Almanya son iki y\u0131ld\u0131r b\u00fcy\u00fcyemeyen tek G7 ekonomisiydi.<\/p>\n<p>Alman h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin son tahmini gibi Alman ekonomisi bu y\u0131l da b\u00fcy\u00fcmezse, art arda \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc y\u0131ld\u0131r b\u00fcy\u00fcmemi\u015f olacak.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/almanya-da-2025-buyume-beklentisi-dustu-3747067<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Almanya&#8217;da h\u00fck\u00fcmet, bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in daha \u00f6nce y\u00fczde 0,3 olarak a\u00e7\u0131klanan\u00a0b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisini ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n politikalar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan k\u00fcresel ticari gerginliklerin etkisiyle y\u00fczde 0&#8217;a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":33302,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[215,116,118,2460,1239],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-33301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-art","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomi","tag-habeck","tag-hukumet"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33301"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33301\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33303,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33301\/revisions\/33303"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33302"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33301"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=33301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}