{"id":35430,"date":"2025-11-19T10:36:26","date_gmt":"2025-11-19T10:36:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=35430"},"modified":"2025-11-19T10:36:26","modified_gmt":"2025-11-19T10:36:26","slug":"dolar-mali-kriz-resesyonla-daha-da-dusebilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/11\/19\/dolar-mali-kriz-resesyonla-daha-da-dusebilir\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;Dolar mali kriz, resesyonla daha da d\u00fc\u015febilir&#8221;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Moody\u2019s\u2019in ABD devlet tahvillerinin kredi notunu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesinin ard\u0131ndan dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kaybetmesiyle, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke para birimlerini izleyen MSCI endeksi d\u00fcn y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n<p>Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ABD varl\u0131klar\u0131ndan nakit \u00e7\u0131karmaya y\u00f6nelmesiyle euro g\u00fc\u00e7lenirken, Do\u011fu ve Orta Avrupa para birimleri y\u00fckseli\u015fe \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck etti. New York\u2019ta Wells Fargo Ekonomisti olan Brendan McKenna, \u201cBelirsizlik ve \u015fimdi de ABD\u2019nin not indirimi ile birlikte, ABD varl\u0131klar\u0131ndan ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f hala devam ediyor\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Deutsche Bank\u2019\u0131n k\u00fcresel d\u00f6viz stratejisi ba\u015fkan\u0131 George Saravelos\u2019a g\u00f6re, ABD h\u00fck\u00fcmeti mali kriz veya resesyona girerse dolar de\u011fer kaybetme riskiyle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Saravelos, pazartesi yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 notta, Stephen Jen\u2019in yirmi y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n bir s\u00fcre \u00f6nce ortaya att\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cdolar g\u00fcl\u00fcmsemesi\u201d kavram\u0131ndan yola \u00e7\u0131karak, \u201cDolar\u0131n mali a\u00e7\u0131dan y\u00fcz\u00fcn\u00fc asmas\u0131, durumu en iyi anlatan ifade\u201d dedi. Yakla\u015fan b\u00fct\u00e7e m\u00fczakerelerinin dolar\u0131n bu \u201cy\u00fcz ifadesinin\u201d neresinde yer alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirleyece\u011fini ifade eden Saravelos, \u201cBir u\u00e7ta a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 gev\u015fek bir maliye politikas\u0131 var.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Bu, ABD tahvillerinde ve dolar\u0131nda bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe yol a\u00e7ar \u2014 bu sabah bir kez daha tan\u0131k oldu\u011fumuz gibi\u201d yorumunu yapt\u0131. \u201cDi\u011fer u\u00e7ta ise \u00e7ok h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fan, b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 keskin bir \u015fekilde kapatan, ancak ABD\u2019yi resesyona ve Fed\u2019in derin bir gev\u015feme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne sokan bir maliye politikas\u0131 yer al\u0131yor\u201d diyen Saravelos, \u201cOrtada ise, dolar i\u00e7in daha elveri\u015fli olan yumu\u015fak bir ini\u015f yer al\u0131yor\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Bu y\u0131lki ticaret sava\u015f\u0131ndan \u00f6nce, piyasalar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme veya derin durgunluk d\u00f6nemlerinde dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u201cdolar g\u00fcl\u00fcmsemesi\u201d teorisini takip etme e\u011filimindeydi<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/dolar-mali-kriz-resesyonla-daha-da-dusebilir-3748755<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Moody&#8217;s&#8217;in ABD devlet tahvillerinin kredi notunu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesinin ard\u0131ndan dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kaybetmesiyle, geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclke para birimlerini izleyen MSCI\u00a0endeksi\u00a0d\u00fcn y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":35431,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[245,3626],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-35430","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abd","tag-dolarin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35430","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=35430"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35430\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":35432,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/35430\/revisions\/35432"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/35431"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=35430"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=35430"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=35430"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=35430"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}