{"id":37840,"date":"2025-11-27T04:12:05","date_gmt":"2025-11-27T04:12:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=37840"},"modified":"2025-11-27T04:12:05","modified_gmt":"2025-11-27T04:12:05","slug":"almanyada-iki-yil-daralmadan-sonra-buyume-bekleniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/11\/27\/almanyada-iki-yil-daralmadan-sonra-buyume-bekleniyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Almanya&#8217;da iki y\u0131l daralmadan sonra b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekleniyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Bloomberg\u2019in anketine g\u00f6re, Almanya ekonomisinin iki y\u0131ll\u0131k daralmadan sonra 2025&#8217;te b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Anket kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomisinde gayri safi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n (GSYH) bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,2 artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu da May\u0131s ay\u0131ndaki ankette \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fckleri durgunluktan daha olumlu bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki y\u0131l i\u00e7in ise altyap\u0131 ve savunma harcamalar\u0131ndaki keskin art\u0131\u015flar devreye girdi\u011finde, 2026\u2019da y\u00fczde 1,1, 2027\u2019de ise y\u00fczde 1,7\u2019lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Handelsblatt Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc k\u0131demli ekonomisti Dennis Huchzermeier konu hakk\u0131nda yeni federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetin acil durum program\u0131ndaki baz\u0131 \u00f6nlemlerin do\u011fru y\u00f6ne i\u015faret etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<p>Almanya 2025\u2019e beklenenden y\u00fcksek bir ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme ile ba\u015flad\u0131. Ancak bu k\u0131smen firmalar\u0131n ve ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n beklenen ABD tarifelerinin \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7meye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. Bu nedenle, i\u015fler yine tersine d\u00f6nebilir.<\/p>\n<p><b> Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisi ters y\u00f6nde <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Almanya Federal Cumhuriyeti Merkez Bankas\u0131 ise bu ay, firmalar\u0131n ticari belirsizlikle bo\u011fu\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle Aral\u0131k ay\u0131nda ekonomide y\u00fczde 0,2\u2019lik b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrerek, daralma \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, bir\u00e7ok ulusal tahminci ve Uluslararas\u0131 Para Fonu (IMF) da d\u00e2hil olmak \u00fczere k\u00fcresel kurulu\u015flar\u0131yla ayn\u0131 do\u011frultuda.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan, M\u00fcnih merkezli Ekonomi Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Ifo) ge\u00e7en hafta gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini daha fazla mali harcamay\u0131 gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6stererek 0,7 puan artt\u0131rd\u0131. Bu nedenle onlar\u0131n tahmini y\u00fczde 1,5 oldu.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan, Kiel D\u00fcnya Ekonomisi Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (IfW) ise y\u00fczde 1,6\u2019l\u0131k bir geni\u015fleme bekliyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ifo Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Clemens Fuest, cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, Almanya \u015eans\u00f6lyesi Friedrich Merz\u2019in hedeflerinden biri olan y\u00fczde 2\u2019lik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin, politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar reformlar\u0131 uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece ula\u015f\u0131labilir oldu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/almanya-da-iki-yil-daralmadan-sonra-buyume-bekleniyor-3750590<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bloomberg&#8217;in anketine kat\u0131lan ekonomistler, Almanya ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 0,2 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":37841,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[116,118],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-37840","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37840","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37840"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37840\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37842,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37840\/revisions\/37842"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37841"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37840"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37840"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37840"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=37840"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}