{"id":38778,"date":"2025-11-29T22:00:08","date_gmt":"2025-11-29T22:00:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=38778"},"modified":"2025-11-29T22:00:08","modified_gmt":"2025-11-29T22:00:08","slug":"diw-alman-ekonomisi-toparlanma-yolunda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/11\/29\/diw-alman-ekonomisi-toparlanma-yolunda\/","title":{"rendered":"DIW: Alman ekonomisi toparlanma yolunda"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>Merkezi Berlin&#8217;de bulunan Alman Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (DIW), Almanya&#8217;ya ili\u015fkin Haziran ay\u0131 ekonomik barometresini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Buna g\u00f6re, ekonomik barometre, haziranda 4 puan art\u0131\u015fla 94,2 puana \u00e7\u0131karak son iki y\u0131l\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyesine ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Barometrenin, Alman ekonomisindeki ortalama b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi g\u00f6steren 100 puana yakla\u015fmas\u0131 dikkati \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n<p>A\u00e7\u0131klamada, ABD&#8217;nin Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nden (AB) ithalat\u0131na y\u00f6nelik belirsiz g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifeleri kapsam\u0131nda d\u0131\u015f ve ticaret politikas\u0131ndaki \u00e7alkant\u0131lar\u0131n Alman \u015firketleri ve hane halklar\u0131n\u0131 zorlamaya devam etti\u011fi belirtilirken bununla birlikte \u00f6zellikle yeni federal h\u00fck\u00fcmetin kapsaml\u0131 mali paketi \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda yak\u0131n gelece\u011fe y\u00f6nelik beklentilerin giderek daha olumlu oldu\u011fu vurguland\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n kademeli faiz indirimlerinin ve d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enflasyonun da ekonominin toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131 destekledi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<p>DIW ekonomistlerinden Guido Baldi de Almanya\u2019da y\u0131llar s\u00fcren durgunlu\u011fun ard\u0131ndan ekonomik durumun kademeli olarak iyile\u015fti\u011fine dair i\u015faretlerin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, \u201cMaliye politikas\u0131ndan gelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc te\u015fvikler ve daha istikrarl\u0131 i\u00e7 siyasi ko\u015fullar buna katk\u0131da bulunuyor. K\u00fcresel ekonominin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 ve jeopolitik durumun endi\u015fe verici olmaya devam etmesi nedeniyle i\u00e7 talebin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi \u00f6nemli&#8221; ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n<div>\n<p><b> Alman ekonomisi b\u00fcy\u00fcmede zorlan\u0131yor <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Alman ekonomisi, 2025&#8217;in ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde her ne kadar y\u00fczde 0,4 ile beklenenden daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydetse de ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump ile AB aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u015firketler ve t\u00fcketiciler aras\u0131nda belirsizli\u011fe neden olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Tarife sava\u015flar\u0131 ve Trump&#8217;\u0131n baz\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131, k\u00fcresel ticaret \u00fczerindeki olumsuz etkilere ili\u015fkin endi\u015feleri k\u00f6r\u00fcklerken \u00e7o\u011fu analist, Trump&#8217;\u0131n g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi politikas\u0131n\u0131, Alman ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinde &#8220;\u00f6zel risk&#8221; olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6lgedeki di\u011fer \u00fclkelere k\u0131yasla daha b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan Alman ekonomisi, \u00fcretimdeki kal\u0131c\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131k nedeniyle de k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomi, 2024&#8217;te bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 0,2 geriledi. \u00c7in ile artan rekabet ve yap\u0131sal sorunlar\u0131n ekonomiyi frenlemesiyle art arda ikinci y\u0131l k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p>\n<p><b> &#8216;Bor\u00e7 freni&#8217; i\u00e7in anayasa de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fine evet dendi <\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan, Almanya\u2019da bir \u00f6nceki Federal Meclisteki milletvekilleri Martta altyap\u0131 ve iklim i\u00e7in 500 milyar euroluk \u00f6zel fon olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 ve savunma harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n gelecekte &#8220;bor\u00e7 freni&#8221; uygulamas\u0131ndan \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in anayasa de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi yap\u0131lmas\u0131na &#8220;evet&#8221; demi\u015fti.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Federal Meclisin \u00fclkenin bor\u00e7 freninin gev\u015fetilmesi ve altyap\u0131n\u0131n yenilenmesi i\u00e7in 500 milyar euroluk \u00f6zel bir fon olu\u015fturulmas\u0131na ye\u015fil \u0131\u015f\u0131k yakmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 24 Haziran&#8217;da Bakanlar Kurulu 2025 b\u00fct\u00e7e tasla\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve 2026 b\u00fct\u00e7e \u00e7er\u00e7evesini onaylam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>H\u00fck\u00fcmetin b\u00fct\u00e7e rotas\u0131nda 2029\u2019a kadar toplam 847 milyar euro tutar\u0131nda yeni bor\u00e7 ihrac\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, \u00fclkede 2029\u2019a kadar altyap\u0131y\u0131 modernle\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in 166 milyar euro harcanmas\u0131 planlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/diw-alman-ekonomisi-toparlanma-yolunda-3751336<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Merkezi Berlin&#8217;de bulunan\u00a0Alman\u00a0Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (DIW), enerji krizi ve k\u00fcresel ekonomideki so\u011fumadan dolay\u0131 uzun s\u00fcredir zor g\u00fcnler ge\u00e7iren\u00a0Alman\u00a0ekonomisinin toparlanma yoluna girdi\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcnde bulundu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":38779,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[453,567],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-38778","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-alman","tag-alman-ekonomisi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38778","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38778"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38778\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":38780,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38778\/revisions\/38780"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38779"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38778"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38778"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38778"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=38778"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}