T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n internet sitesinde yay\u0131nlanan bir blog yaz\u0131s\u0131nda uluslararas\u0131 petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131 ile cari dengeye yans\u0131malar\u0131 ele al\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Yaz\u0131da, \u201cBrent petrol fiyat\u0131nda temmuz ay\u0131nda ortalamada 10 ABD dolarl\u0131k, yani yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 16\u2019l\u0131k bir y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosu olu\u015fturuyoruz. B\u00f6yle bir senaryoda, 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon tahminimiz, do\u011frudan ve dolayl\u0131 etkilerin toplam\u0131yla 1,2 puan y\u00fckselirken, bir y\u0131l sonunda toplam art\u0131\u015f 1,6 puan oluyor\u201d denildi.<\/p>\n
\u201cBu durumda, ham petrol fiyat\u0131n\u0131n cari a\u00e7\u0131k \u00fczerindeki 12 ayl\u0131k net etkisini, her 10 ABD dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fta 2,6 milyar ABD dolar\u0131 civar\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015f olarak hesapl\u0131yoruz\u201d denilen yaz\u0131da, \u201cNitekim ortalama 10 ABD dolarl\u0131k ham petrol fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n, petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithalat\u0131n\u0131 5,1 milyar ABD dolar\u0131, ihracat\u0131n\u0131 da 2,2 milyar ABD dolar\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ham petrol fiyat\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n ithalatta neden oldu\u011fu y\u00fckseli\u015fin kayda de\u011fer bir k\u0131sm\u0131 ihracat taraf\u0131ndan telafi edilmi\u015f oluyor\u201d de\u011ferlendirmesine yer verildi.<\/p>\n\n
<\/p>\n
Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/tcmb-ekonomistleri-petrolde-10-dolarlik-artis-senaryosu-enflasyon-tahminini-1-2-puan-yukseltir-3752463<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131’n\u0131n (TCMB) blog sayfas\u0131nda ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015febilecek art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi \u00f6zelinde enflasyon ve cari denge \u00fczerindeki tahmini etkileri say\u0131salla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":40180,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[245,3535],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-40179","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-abd","tag-petrol-fiyat"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40179","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=40179"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40179\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40181,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/40179\/revisions\/40181"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/40180"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=40179"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=40179"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=40179"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=40179"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}