{"id":41363,"date":"2025-12-08T16:24:05","date_gmt":"2025-12-08T16:24:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=41363"},"modified":"2025-12-08T16:24:05","modified_gmt":"2025-12-08T16:24:05","slug":"morgan-stanleyden-tcmb-patikasi-tahmini","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/12\/08\/morgan-stanleyden-tcmb-patikasi-tahmini\/","title":{"rendered":"Morgan Stanley&#8217;den TCMB patikas\u0131 tahmini"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><p>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ekonomistlerin medyan \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fc \u00fczerinde 300 baz puan faiz indirimine gitmesinin ard\u0131ndan Morgan Stanley ekonomistleri y\u0131l sonu faiz beklentisini y\u00fczde 36\u2019da tuttu.<\/p>\n<p>Temmuz faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesi kalan d\u00f6rt toplant\u0131da 250\u2019\u015fer baz puan indirimle bu orana eri\u015filmesini bekleyen Morgan Stanley ekonomistleri temmuz karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan eyl\u00fclde 300 baz puan, ekim ve aral\u0131k aylar\u0131nda ise 200\u2019er baz puan faiz indirimi beklediklerini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Aralar\u0131nda Hande K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck ve Arnav Gupta\u2019n\u0131n oldu\u011fu ekonomistler y\u0131l sonu enflasyon tahminlerini y\u00fczde 29\u2019dan y\u00fczde 30\u2019a, dolar\/TL tahminlerini ise 43\u2019ten 45\u2019e y\u00fckseltti. Ekonomistler lira tahmini revizyonu i\u00e7in para biriminde son d\u00f6nem ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen de\u011fer kayb\u0131 h\u0131z\u0131na at\u0131fta bulundu.<\/p>\n<p>Garanti BBVA ekonomistleri de TCMB karar\u0131 sonras\u0131 y\u0131l sonu y\u00fczde 36 faiz tahminlerinde de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fe gitmedi. Ekonomistler eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131 sonras\u0131 ekim ve aral\u0131kta 200\u2019er baz puan ile indirimlerin h\u0131z\u0131nda yava\u015flama bekliyor.<\/p>\n\n<p><\/p>\n<p>Kaynak :\u00a0<span style=\"background-color: rgb(255, 249, 236); color: rgb(55, 58, 60); font-size: 14px;\">https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/morgan-stanleyden-tcmb-patikasi-tahmini-3753415<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Morgan Stanley ekonomistleri y\u0131l sonu faiz beklentisini y\u00fczde 36&#8217;da tuttu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":41364,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1312,1707,405],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-41363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-baz-puan","tag-ekonomistler","tag-faiz"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=41363"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41363\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":41365,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/41363\/revisions\/41365"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/41364"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=41363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=41363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=41363"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=41363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}