Bloomberg\u2019in ekonomistlerle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 son ayl\u0131k anket, ABD ekonomisinin y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda ve 2026 boyunca dura\u011fan bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6sterece\u011fini ve t\u00fcketicilerin tarife kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam edece\u011fini ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n
Ankete g\u00f6re ABD’de ekonominin y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1,1 oran\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor. Bu oran, y\u0131l\u0131n ilk alt\u0131 ay\u0131nda kaydedilen ortalama y\u00fczde 1,4\u2019l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin alt\u0131nda bir performansa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Ankette ekonominin temel b\u00fcy\u00fcme motoru olan t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n ise \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ve d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 1,1 artmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde, ki\u015fisel t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131 fiyat endeksi ile \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fclen \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonun d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte ortalama y\u00fczde 3,2\u2019ye ula\u015fmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun 2026 boyunca kademeli olarak d\u00fc\u015fmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclse de, Fed\u2019in y\u00fczde 2\u2019lik hedefinin \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam edece\u011fi tahmin ediliyor.<\/p>\n
Anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek ithalat tarifelerinin t\u00fcketici fiyatlar\u0131na daha geni\u015f \u00e7apta yans\u0131yaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve etkilerinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131l yava\u015f yava\u015f azalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n
22-27 A\u011fustos tarihleri aras\u0131nda yap\u0131lan ankete kat\u0131lan 79 ekonomist, ABD ekonomisinin ba\u015fkan\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc b\u00fcy\u00fcme hedefledi\u011fi ticaret ve yat\u0131r\u0131m politikalar\u0131n\u0131n etkilerine uyum sa\u011flamaya devam edece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Ayn\u0131 zamanda Fed\u2019in hem inat\u00e7\u0131 fiyat bask\u0131lar\u0131 hem de yava\u015flayan ekonomik faaliyet kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zorluk ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Jerome Powell ge\u00e7en hafta, y\u00fcksek tarifelerin fiyatlar \u00fczerindeki etkisinin \u201cart\u0131k net \u015fekilde g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc\u201d belirtirken, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda olas\u0131 bir bozulma riskine kar\u015f\u0131 Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz indirimi ihtimaline i\u015faret etmi\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Bloomberg anketindeki ekonomistler, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte y\u00fczde 4,4\u2019e y\u00fckselmesini ve 2026\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde bu seviyede kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 12 ay i\u00e7inde resesyon olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fczde 32 olarak tahmin ediliyor; bu oran, Mart ay\u0131ndan bu yana kaydedilen en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviye olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Genel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin m\u00fctevaz\u0131 olmas\u0131 beklenirken, kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar 2026 boyunca i\u015f yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131nda bir h\u0131zlanma \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/ekonomistlerin-abd-ongorusu-yavas-buyume-inatci-enflasyon-3755997<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bloomberg anketine kat\u0131lan ekonomistlere g\u00f6re, ABD’de yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve inat\u00e7\u0131 enflasyonun 2026’ya kadar s\u00fcrece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":44254,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[226,116,80],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-44253","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-anket","tag-buyume","tag-is"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44253","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44253"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44253\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":44255,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44253\/revisions\/44255"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44254"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44253"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44253"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44253"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=44253"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}