Fitch, K\u00fcresel Ekonomik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm Raporu’nun Eyl\u00fcl say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 “K\u00fcresel B\u00fcy\u00fcme Tahminleri Yukar\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc Revize Edildi Ancak ABD Ekonomisi Yava\u015fl\u0131yor” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131yla yay\u0131mlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerinin 2025’in ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde beklenenden iyi gelen veriler do\u011frultusunda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edildi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnya ekonomisinde hala bu y\u0131l \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yava\u015flama beklendi\u011fine i\u015faret edilen raporda, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,9 olan k\u00fcresel ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,4’e ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,3’e gerilemesinin beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi. Raporda, d\u00fcnya ekonomisinin 2027’de ise y\u00fczde 2,6 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Fitch, Haziran ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tahminlerde k\u00fcresel ekonominin bu y\u0131l ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,2’\u015fer b\u00fcy\u00fcmesini \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
ABD ekonomisinde yava\u015flama beklentisi <\/b><\/p>\n
Verilerin ABD ekonomisindeki yava\u015flamaya dair kan\u0131tlar sundu\u011fu belirtilen raporda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin ge\u00e7en y\u0131l y\u00fczde 2,8 olan b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,6, 2027’de ise y\u00fczde 2,1 olmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n
Raporda, efektif tarife oran\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin t\u00fcketici enflasyonuna yans\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131n hen\u00fcz s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131, ancak bunun y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6nemlerinde artmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Y\u00fcksek enflasyonun reel \u00fccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yava\u015flataca\u011f\u0131 ve 2025’te halihaz\u0131rda belirgin \u015fekilde yava\u015flayan t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131 olumsuz etkileyece\u011fi ifade edilen raporda, istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n da belirgin \u015fekilde yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, i\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131ndaki zay\u0131flaman\u0131n ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131 (Fed) faizleri tahmin edilenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeye ikna edebilece\u011fi vurgulanan, eyl\u00fcl ve aral\u0131k aylar\u0131nda 25 baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimleri ile 2026’da \u00fc\u00e7 faiz indiriminin daha beklendi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi bekleniyor <\/b><\/p>\n
Raporda, Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nin ihracat\u0131n\u0131n ise 2025’in ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndaki h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesinin pek olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnmedi\u011fi ve t\u00fcketici toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla birlikte bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklenmedi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n
Fitch’in raporunda, Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l ve gelecek y\u0131l y\u00fczde 1,1’er, 2027’de ise y\u00fczde 1,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin tahmin edildi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
\u00c7in’in bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,7 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi tahmin ediliyor <\/b><\/p>\n
\u00c7in’de de ihracat b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin ABD’nin tarife \u015fokuna ra\u011fmen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 kaydedilen raporda, mali gev\u015femenin b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi destekledi\u011fi ancak \u00f6zel i\u00e7 talep b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin zay\u0131fl\u0131yor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve deflasyonun giderek kal\u0131c\u0131 hale geldi\u011fi aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, \u00c7in ekonomisinin bu y\u0131l y\u00fczde 4,7, gelecek y\u0131l ve 2027’de y\u00fczde 4,1’er b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin tahmin edildi\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrkiye’nin bu y\u0131la ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmininde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyon <\/b><\/p>\n
Bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi yans\u0131t\u0131lan raporda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin y\u00fczde 2,9’dan y\u00fczde 3,5’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n
Raporda, T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin 2026’da da y\u00fczde 3,5, 2027’de ise y\u00fczde 4,2 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin beklendi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
\u00dclkede y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyonun d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam etti\u011fine i\u015faret edilen raporda, mevcut ayl\u0131k e\u011filimler \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde 2025 i\u00e7in y\u0131l sonu enflasyonun y\u00fczde 28’e yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi, bu oran\u0131n 2026 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 21 ve 2027 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 19 olmas\u0131n\u0131n tahmin edildi\u011fi kaydedildi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
Raporda, bu y\u0131l yap\u0131lacak \u00fc\u00e7 politika toplant\u0131s\u0131yla birlikte, T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyet Merkez Bankas\u0131n\u0131n (TCMB) politika faizini toplam 800 baz puan indirmesinin ve y\u0131l\u0131 y\u00fczde 35 seviyesinde tamamlamas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/fitch-turkiye-nin-buyume-tahminini-yukseltti-3756773<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Uluslararas\u0131 kredi derecelendirme kurulu\u015fu Fitch Ratings, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde beklenenden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisinin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminin y\u00fckseltildi\u011fi yans\u0131t\u0131lan raporda, \u00fclke ekonomisinin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131na ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentisinin y\u00fczde 2,9’dan y\u00fczde 3,5’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 aktar\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45061,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[2427,116,572,222,117],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-45060","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-bu-yil","tag-buyume","tag-ekonomisi","tag-raporda","tag-tahmin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45060","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45060"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45060\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45062,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45060\/revisions\/45062"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45061"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45060"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45060"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45060"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=45060"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}