{"id":45308,"date":"2025-12-27T23:12:06","date_gmt":"2025-12-27T23:12:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=45308"},"modified":"2025-12-27T23:12:06","modified_gmt":"2025-12-27T23:12:06","slug":"abd-kongresi-butce-ofisi-buyume-tahminini-dusurdu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2025\/12\/27\/abd-kongresi-butce-ofisi-buyume-tahminini-dusurdu\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD Kongresi B\u00fct\u00e7e Ofisi b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc"},"content":{"rendered":"

CBO, ocak ay\u0131nda yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131, 2025-2028 y\u0131llar\u0131na ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme, istihdam, enflasyon, faiz oranlar\u0131 gibi konulardaki tahminlerini son ekonomik geli\u015fmeler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda g\u00fcncelledi.<\/p>\n

G\u00fcncellemede, y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe giren yeni yasalar, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck net g\u00f6\u00e7 ve daha y\u00fcksek g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri gibi fakt\u00f6rlerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, ocaktan bu yana yay\u0131mlanan veriler de dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Buna g\u00f6re CBO, ABD ekonomisine ili\u015fkin b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131, 2026 ve 2028 i\u00e7in yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize etti.<\/p>\n

B\u00f6ylelikle ocak ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde 1,9 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen ABD’nin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahmini y\u00fczde 1,4’e d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

\u00dclke ekonomisinin 2026’da y\u00fczde 2,2 ve 2027 ile 2028’de y\u00fczde 1,8 b\u00fcy\u00fcyece\u011fi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n

CBO’nun bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in enflasyon tahmini de y\u00fczde 2,2’den y\u00fczde 3,1’e \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Enflasyonun 2026’da y\u00fczde 2,4 ve 2027 ile 2028’de y\u00fczde 2 olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin edildi.<\/p>\n

D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyre\u011fe ili\u015fkin ortalama faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi y\u00fckseldi <\/b><\/p>\n

\u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tahminler de 2025 i\u00e7in yukar\u0131, gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00fcncellendi.<\/p>\n

D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrekte ortalama i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 beklentisi bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,3’ten y\u00fczde 4,5’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131l\u0131rken, 2026 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 4,4’ten y\u00fczde 4,2’ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc. 2027 ve 2028 y\u0131llar\u0131na dair i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 tahminleri y\u00fczde 4,4 olarak korundu.<\/p>\n

\n

Ocak ay\u0131nda, bu y\u0131l i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,7 olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek ortalama faiz oran\u0131 beklentisi y\u00fczde 4’e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131ld\u0131. Gelecek y\u0131l i\u00e7in de y\u00fczde 3,4’ten y\u00fczde 3,6’ya y\u00fckseltildi.<\/p>\n

D\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc \u00e7eyrek ortalama faiz oran\u0131 tahmini, 2027 ve 2028 y\u0131llar\u0131 i\u00e7in y\u00fczde 3,4’ten y\u00fczde 3,3’e revize edildi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/abd-kongresi-butce-ofisi-buyume-tahminini-dusurdu-3757057<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD Kongresi B\u00fct\u00e7e Ofisi (CBO), \u00fclke ekonomisine ili\u015fkin 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini y\u00fczde 1,9’dan y\u00fczde 1,4’e \u00e7ekerken, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131na dair beklentisini y\u00fczde 4,3’ten y\u00fczde 4,5’e y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45309,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[4227,117],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-45308","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-4227","tag-tahmin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45308","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45308"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45308\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45310,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45308\/revisions\/45310"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/45309"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45308"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45308"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45308"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=45308"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}