{"id":7416,"date":"2024-07-27T09:48:07","date_gmt":"2024-07-27T09:48:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/?p=7416"},"modified":"2024-07-27T09:48:07","modified_gmt":"2024-07-27T09:48:07","slug":"abd-secim-anketlerinde-son-tablo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/2024\/07\/27\/abd-secim-anketlerinde-son-tablo\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD se\u00e7im anketlerinde son tablo"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Kamuoyu yoklamalar\u0131 Kamala Harris’in Donald Trump ile aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131 azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Joe Biden’\u0131n yar\u0131\u015ftan \u00e7ekilmesinin ard\u0131ndan Harris’in ba\u015fkanl\u0131k adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131na soyunmas\u0131ndan bu yana yap\u0131lan yedi ulusal anket birlikte ele al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Demokratlar\u0131n fark\u0131 yar\u0131 yar\u0131ya azaltt\u0131\u011f\u0131 izlendi. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Wall Street Journal taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan bir anket de dahil olmak \u00fczere yak\u0131ndan takip edilen baz\u0131 anketler Harris’in eski ba\u015fkanla istatistiksel olarak e\u015fit oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan bir New York Times\/Siena anketi, Harris’in \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc partilerin dahil edilip edilmedi\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak aradaki fark\u0131 6 ya da 7 puan kapatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Harris’in kazanc\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde Demokrat koalisyonun Biden’dan so\u011fuyan kesimlerinden geliyor. New York Times’\u0131n bir ay \u00f6nce yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ankette 81 ya\u015f\u0131ndaki ba\u015fkan kay\u0131tl\u0131 siyah se\u00e7menlerin sadece y\u00fczde 59’unun oyunu al\u0131rken Harris y\u00fczde 69’unun oyunu al\u0131yor. Harris ayr\u0131ca partisinin Hispanik se\u00e7menler aras\u0131ndaki pay\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fczde 45’ten y\u00fczde 57’ye, 30 ya\u015f alt\u0131 se\u00e7menler aras\u0131ndaki pay\u0131n\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 46’dan y\u00fczde 56’ya y\u00fckseltti.<\/p>\n

Wall Street Journal anketi de Demokratlar\u0131n co\u015fkusundaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klayan benzer de\u011fi\u015fimler buldu. Bir aydan k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre \u00f6nce Biden se\u00e7menlerinin sadece y\u00fczde 37’si adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda hevesliyken, \u015fimdi Harris se\u00e7menlerinin y\u00fczde 81’i hevesli oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

RealClearPolitics ve FiveThirtyEight’in anket ortalamalar\u0131, yeni anketler yava\u015f yava\u015f geldi\u011fi ve \u00f6rneklemdeki eski anketlerin yerini ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in haberlere tepki vermekte yava\u015f kalabiliyor.<\/p>\n

Sadece Biden yar\u0131\u015ftan ayr\u0131ld\u0131ktan sonra yap\u0131lan anketlerin a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f ortalamas\u0131 Harris’in Trump’\u0131n 1,6 puan gerisinde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. RealClearPolitics \u00f6rnekleminde s\u00fcrekli olarak en Trump e\u011filimli olan Rasmussen Reports’un bir anketi hari\u00e7 tutuldu\u011funda Trump’\u0131n liderli\u011fi bunun yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Karars\u0131z eyaletlerdeki anketlerin bir k\u0131sm\u0131 da benzer bir e\u011filim g\u00f6steriyor. Emerson College’\u0131n Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania ve Wisconsin’de yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 anketler Harris’in, Emerson’\u0131n bir hafta \u00f6nceki son anketinde Biden’dan y\u00fczde 3 ila 4 puan daha y\u00fcksek oy ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>\n

Kaynak :\u00a0https:\/\/www.bloomberght.com\/abd-secim-anketlerinde-son-tablo-2357322<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

ABD’de ba\u015fkanl\u0131k se\u00e7imleri i\u00e7in yap\u0131lan son anketlerde Demokratlar\u0131n aday\u0131 Kamala Harris’in Donald Trump ile olan fark\u0131 kapatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7417,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[226,438,1228],"manset":[],"class_list":["post-7416","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomi","tag-anket","tag-biden","tag-secmenler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7416","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7416"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7416\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7418,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7416\/revisions\/7418"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7417"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7416"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7416"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7416"},{"taxonomy":"manset","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kamucalisanlari.net\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/manset?post=7416"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}